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The term media refers broadly to the range of tools that humans have used throughout history to communicate with each other about a shared reality. The most common reference is to the set of modern technologies – from the printing press to the Internet – which facilitate communication across space, time, and social collectives.
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The Oxford English Dictionary Online (OED) notes that while classical Latin medium referred to some middle entity or state, in postclassical Latin and in British sources from the twelfth century onward, medium and media also came to denote the means of doing something. On the one hand, a medium could be understood as a more or less incidental presence, linking natural phenomena of this world and some metaphysical realm. On the other hand, a medium can serve as an intentional instrument of human action in a modern sense. In the latter respect, the OED distinguishes two conceptions – medium as an artistic modality, material, or technique; and medium as a channel of mass communication – both of them from the mid-nineteenth century. This was the period when a general idea of communication took hold (Peters 1999), partly in response to new technological means of communication with important social and aesthetic implications, from telegraph and telephone, to film, radio and, later, television. It was not until the 1960s, however, that media came into general use as a term covering diverse technologies and institutions, most commonly in the sense of mass media, communicating from one center to a mass of dispersed and anonymous receivers.
Each media concept implies a particular understanding of the basic communication model of sender, message, and receiver. The first concept, articulated in Lasswell’s paradigm (Lasswell 1948) – who says what, in which channel, to whom, with what effect – approached the medium as a neutral conduit for the dissemination of information of all kinds. In order to assess the effects and implications of a given medium, such as a newspaper or a radio station, scholars might focus their attention on the strategies of the sender, the selectivity of the communicated message, the reach of the medium in question, or the susceptibility of the receivers to particular ideas. A great deal of subsequent work has questioned Lasswell’s focus on separate stages of communication, as associated with separate forms of media analysis. In fairness, Lasswell further emphasized the function of media as mechanisms of surveillance at a macro-level. Media are means of monitoring a society as well as its surroundings with a view to self-protection, self-regulation, and long-term stability. In this regard, media can be understood in social scientific terms as a particular set of institutions in society.
The second variant was stated in the mathematical theory of communication. Its basis was Claude Shannon’s research and development regarding the physical and technological conditions for the transfer of signals in telephone systems. A number of the insights were presented in a joint publication with Warren Weaver (Shannon & Weaver 1949), and it was this volume that influenced a good deal of theory development on media. In fact, Shannon was addressing the material aspects of how to design a communication system. In its popularized form, however, the underlying model of engineering was applied to humans as a description of social interaction. Although such applications have regularly been criticized as metaphorical and imprecise, the model has remained an important part of the heritage of communication theory. This may be due, in part, to the obvious point that media are concrete vehicles whose affordances and constraints condition their potential role in human communication. The attempt to account for media as material technologies with social implications has continued to occupy communication researchers.
The third concept derives from humanistic perspectives on media as aesthetic means of expression and as carriers of cultural and historical meaning. Rooted in centuries of rhetorical and hermeneutic scholarship, this discursive media concept received an influential formulation in Roman Jakobson’s (1960) model of communication. While carrying an outward resemblance to the models of Lasswell and Shannon and Weaver, Jakobson’s model grew out of literary theory, highlighting the various communicative functions of different linguistic and aesthetic choices by authors. Jakobson further made a distinction between the channel (what he termed contact – the material relation, such as book, newspaper, or Internet) and the code (the modalities or forms of expression, such as speech, writing, music, moving images, etc.). Compared to both Lasswell and Shannon and Weaver, however, Jakobson stayed entirely within the boundaries of the text or message, calling for an immanent analysis of how communicative functions manifest themselves in concrete textual structures, and bracketing the social contexts and uses of, for instance, literature or advertising. Much humanistic scholarship, accordingly, has approached media as forms of expression that are externalized and available for study in the form of discourses.
Particularly since the 1980s, much media research has been characterized by efforts at combining and integrating these concepts as dimensions within some form of theoretical systematic. A common position is that all three perspectives are necessary, and none of them sufficient, for a scientifically valid and socially relevant field of media studies. Interdisciplinary research and debate has explored not least the relationship between social sciences (media as institutions) and humanities (media as discourses) (for overview, see Jensen 2002b). Until recently, there appears to have been relatively less theory development devoted specifically to the interrelations between media as material technologies and media as institutions and discourses – despite the wealth of research on new media technologies as well as a growing interest in the distinctive affordances of different media technologies and their historical uses. Digitization has provided an impetus for reconsidering how, concretely, the materiality of media shapes, and is shaped by, culture and society.
The individual media can be understood as characteristic configurations of the human potential for communication at a given historical time. These configurations are organized along three dimensions – materials, modalities, and institutions – as identified in the three conceptions of a medium.
Media are physical materials which – in a particular cultural shape – enable forms of communication that previously had not been possible. Sound recordings, from the late 1800s, made possible the preservation of parts of the cultural heritage that until then had disappeared into the air. From the 1910s, recorded sound became mobile with the introduction of portable gramophones. And, from 1979, media users wearing a Walkman were able to create soundscapes that were at once mobile and private.
It is through specific forms of expression and experience that media enable human communication – language, music, moving images, etc. These modalities, on the one hand, are grounded biologically in the human senses. On the other hand, modalities have been subject to millennia of differentiation and cultivation. In modern media technologies, the modalities have entered into shifting and evolving genres – from novels and radio serials, to music videos and virtual worlds.
Media, finally, constitute distinctive institutions in society: through media, individuals and collectives can describe and reflect upon themselves as well as the rest of society. Media and other social institutions have jointly reproduced each other under changing technological and cultural circumstances. Print and electronic media extended cultures in space and sustained nation-states over time; nation-states and international treaties regulate the legal limits of public communication and the economic bases of each new medium. Television, for example, was developed as a consumer good for the home, financed by advertising or license fees, even though the material technology might have been framed socially on the model of cinema as a public or community activity.
In comparison with other meaningful cultural artifacts and social arrangements – from interior decorating to business transactions – the media that constitute the objects of analysis in media and communication research, are distinguished by their programmability, being uniquely flexible resources for the articulation of information and communicative interaction as part of an ongoing social structuration (Giddens 1984).
Whereas programmability is most commonly associated with the various levels of the digital computer, other communication platforms also lend themselves to combinatorial configurations. First, the modalities of media amount to semiotic registers of language, music, images, etc., allowing for an immense repertoire of genres and discourses, and engaging the human senses in selective and culturally conventional ways. Thus, media make possible the rendering of and interaction with worlds past and present, real and imagined. Second, the technologies of media provide the material substratum of such representations, not as fixed conduits, but as resources for accomplishing particular social and aesthetic ends. Third, media communicate to, about, and on behalf of social institutions, which, again, are shaped and reshaped through communication. As combinatorial systems, media and societies can be said to mutually program each other – a notion that, for example, systems theory has elaborated and formalized. The degrees of freedom that condition this entire process, in three dimensions, help to account for the relative indetermination of the structures and outcomes of mediated communication, and continue to challenge research on the question of what difference the media make.
The coming of digital media has stimulated renewed research interest in the duality of mediated and nonmediated communication. For one thing, ordinary human conversation, while nonmediated by technologies, is mediated by aural–oral modalities, in addition to body language, broadly speaking. For another thing, computer-mediated communication – email, chat, online gaming – often carries a stronger resemblance to interpersonal than to mass communication. In order to assess the implications of digital media as emerging social and cultural institutions, much ongoing work has begun to address the interrelations between different media types (Bolter & Grusin 1999; Manovich 2001; Lievrouw & Livingstone 2002). One explanatory framework would distinguish between media of three degrees (Jensen 2002a).
Media of the first degree can be defined as the biologically based, socially formed resources that enable humans to articulate an understanding of reality, for a particular purpose, and to engage in communication about it with others. The central example is verbal language, or speech, as constitutive of oral cultures and subcultures – additional examples include song and other musical expression, dance, drama, painting, and creative arts generally, often relying on mechanical techniques such as musical instruments and artistic or writing utensils as necessary elements. Importantly, such media depend on the presence of the human body in local time–space. While one might identify (spoken) language, or the human voice, as the medium, it is helpful to differentiate between, for instance, speech and song as media with reference to their different modalities, sharing the same material substratum, but commonly addressing different social institutions, contexts, and practices.
Media of the second degree come under the classic definition by Walter Benjamin (1936/1977) of the technically reproduced and enhanced forms of representation and interaction which support communication across space and time, irrespective of the presence and number of participants. Whereas Benjamin emphasized photography, film, and radio, media of the second degree range from early modern examples, including the standardized reproduction of religious and political texts by the printing press, to television and video. The common features are, first, one-to-one reproduction, storage, and presentation of a particular content and, second, radically extended possibilities for dissemination across time and space. These technologies had important consequences for major social institutions – from the breakup of the Catholic church to the rise of the nation-state. Also, modalities from media of the first degree were refashioned. In radio talk shows, conversation took on new conventions, just as acting styles were adapted from the theater stage to cinema and television.
It is debatable whether manuscripts, which fix speech, drawing, music, and other human communication in a stable format, should be considered a separate media category, partly in view of their epochal significance. In historical perspective, Meyrowitz (1994, 54) suggested that its comparatively inefficient forms of reproduction and distribution made handwriting a transitional cultural form. For a systematics of media, and from the perspective of media and communication research as a field, it can be argued that the production of manuscripts, like other media of the first degree, is embodied and local, laborious and error-prone; that their distribution is commonly selective rather than public, within established institutions, as supported by oral commentary; and that the constitutive role of handwriting in the reproduction of cultural tradition and social institutions has been taken over by media of the second degree.
Media of the third degree are the digitally processed forms of representation and interaction. Digital technology enables reproduction and recombination of all media of the second degree on a single platform: computers, thus, can be understood as metamedia (Kay & Goldberg 1977/1999). The central current example is the networked personal computer, although this interface, like that of mobile telephones, is likely to change substantially as technologies are adapted further to the human senses, and integrated into both common objects and social arrangements. Whereas classic mass media, such as illustrated magazines and television, combined modalities to a considerable degree, the scale and speed with which digitalization facilitates their incorporation and reconfiguration suggests that digital media may represent a qualitative shift from media of the second degree that is comparable to the shift from first-degree to second-degree media. The media types have not replaced each other – they recirculate the forms and contents of shifting cultural traditions in social contexts. They do, however, offer distinctive and ascending degrees of programmability in terms of adaptable technologies, differentiated modalities, and institutions transcending time, space, and social collectives.
The development both of the concept of media and of media studies indicates that media are understood in historical context. The modern, general concept of communication was, in part, a response to nineteenth-century analog technologies (Peters 1999); current debates about the concept of media may be a response to twentieth-century digital technologies. This interplay of social and conceptual changes has been called a double hermeneutics (Giddens 1984): changing social realities challenge research to deliver new interpretations and explanations – which, in turn, may change society, for example, through the design and regulation of media.
21 Pages Posted: 1 Jul 2024
Sindh Madressa-tul-Islam University
Date Written: June 26, 2024
This research will present an exhaustive review of the media environment and give policymakers a strategy for the development of a media corridor between Pakistan, China, and Central Asia. Geographically, this region is landlocked but very rich in oil and natural resources. Especially Pakistan and Central Asia have a common history, culture, religion, and agriculture. Their friendly relations are reflected in the policy statements delivered by the government's officials, who appear in the national and international media. Theoretically, the media can affect foreign policies through its agenda-setting, agenda-reflecting, and agenda-building policies. In this research, the researcher has focused on developing a strategy for the "Astan Media Corridor" between Pakistan, China, and Central Asia. The objectives of this study are to find out the possible media's role in strengthening the relationship between Pakistan, China, and Central Asia and to explore the prospects and challenges for developing a suggested "media corridor" between Pakistan, China, and Central Asia. The "main purpose" of this research is to identify the obstacles and opportunities in relations between media organizations and people belonging to media houses in Pakistan, China, and Central Asia. The key conclusion is that the media on both ends, instead of playing a very important role in building the relationship between Pakistan, China, and Central Asia, follows the official narrative of the governments.
Keywords: "Astan Media Corridor", Strategic Depth, Electronic and Print Media, Pakistan, China, and
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Sushim kanchan.
1 Epidemiology and Public Health, Jawaharlal Nehru Medical College, Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Wardha, IND
Social media refers to online social networking sites and is a broad example of Web 2.0, such as Twitter, YouTube, TikTok, Facebook, Snapchat, Reddit, Instagram, WhatsApp, and blogs. It is a new and ever-changing field. Access to the internet, social media platforms and mobile communications are all tools that can be leveraged to make health information available and accessible. This research aimed to conduct an introductory study of the existing published literature on why to choose and how to use social media to obtain population health information and to gain knowledge about various health sectors like disease surveillance, health education, health research, health and behavioral modification, influence policy, enhance professional development and doctor-patient relation development. We searched for publications using databases like PubMed, NCBI, and Google Scholar, and combined 2022 social media usage statistics from PWC, Infographics Archive, and Statista online websites. The American Medical Association (AMA) policy about Professionalism in Social Media Use, American College of Physicians-Federations of State Medical Boards (ACP-FSMB) guidelines for Online Medical Professionalism, and Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) social media violations were also briefly reviewed. Our findings reflect the benefits and drawbacks of using web platforms and how they impact public health ethically, professionally, and socially. During our research, we discovered that social media's impact on public health concerns is both positive and negative, and we attempted to explain how social networks are assisting people in achieving health, which is still a source of much debate.
The term "social media" was first used to describe the evolution of Web 2.0 applications that are open and social in nature [ 1 ]. Web 2.0 social networking sites are broad online platforms where people can communicate and share information and as we enter the digital age, this media platform is becoming more popular. With 3.81 billion active social media users in April 2020 [ 1 , 2 ], increasing access to the internet and mobile phone connections, more people have access to public health information more quickly and directly than ever before.
In the world of social media, 2020 was extremely important, world's most popular social media website, Facebook, has 1.1 billion monthly users [ 3 ] in 2013 which got increased to 2.9 million by 2022 [ 4 ]. Globally, there are more than 3.6 billion users of social media, and by 2025, that number is projected to increase to 4.41 billion [ 5 ]. It was found that YouTube is the second most actively used networking site after Facebook, with 2,562 million users in 2022. WhatsApp had 2000 million, Wein/WeChat - 1,263; TikTok - 1,000; Facebook Messenger - 988; Snapchat - 557; Telegram - 550; Pinterest - 444; Twitter - 436; Reddit - 430, and Quora - 300 million active users. Figure Figure1 1 is a percentage-based compilation of global usage data from January 2022 for all mentioned social media networks.
For several reasons, online social media platforms appear to have much potential for public health campaigns. For instance, they can connect with very reasonably large audiences, Facebook has 1.1 billion monthly users [ 3 ] in 2013. Second, messages can be sent to personal contacts, possibly making them more advantageous than traditional health marketing tactics [ 6 ]. Third, user involvement and retention are typically high on online social networks in contrast to conventional web-based interventions [ 7 ]. Finally, because social media involves users taking an active role and creating content, it can be more impactful than traditional websites [ 8 ]. Various studies provided an overview of social media's potential as a tool for health interventions, socializing with supportive friends and family, talking about your emotions, healthy behavior change and counseling, health campaigns, medical education, disease outbreak surveillance, health research, and more [ 9 ]. These recent developments contemplate how social media offers healthcare professionals and patients opportunities to communicate affordably and reciprocally, which can positively impact current medical practice.
Despite the promising strategies Web 2.0 technologies and eHealth applications provide, it raises many questions, establishing trust, adhering to rules, and choosing the best content are just a few of these [ 10 ]. A lot of user-generated content (UGC) from self-media and various facts about the epidemic on social media have a significant emotional undertone [ 11 ]. It shed light on the patterns and characteristics of how users' emotional dispositions change during times of public health emergency [ 11 ], and how social networking can influence people's and groups' decision-making behavior [ 12 ], potentially increasing the risk of misinformation, various conspiracy theories, stigma, violence, and religious-cultural sentiments damage. Overusing social media has been linked to significant issues with the mental health of both adults and adolescents. Fear of missing out (FOMO) is the anxiety associated with the motivation to keep up with what other people are doing on social media. Cyberbullying, sleep disruption, stress, depression, and false prestige are just a few of the negative effects of social media on today's youth. Other challenges that can arise are offending people and defaming their relationships and reputations, either unintentionally or intentionally [ 13 ]. It can be difficult to use numerous social networking sites for medical purposes to improve communication because one must be sure that the information is accurate and easily accessible [ 10 ]. Due to concerns with compliance, trust, and patient privacy, social media has been warned about having a significant negative impact on doctor-patient relationships [ 14 ]. However, the accepted protocols for using web networks to transmit health information have not yet been investigated. Another topic that has to be investigated is how people view and use personal health data and cultural and social standards that vary by region.
This narrative study intends to shed light on the potential use of social media as a new platform for the population health and healthcare industries. It was also emphasized that it was important to examine the many difficulties that could arise when using this platform for the health sectors and to provide guidelines on certain key social media usage best practices.
The topic "Social Media Role and Its Impact on Public Health" was thoroughly researched using databases and websites for up-to-date related data and literature, such as PubMed, NCBI, and Google Scholar. Search terms included social media, social networking, public health, online health information, online health communication, online health management, social media platforms, social media usage statistics, HIPAA violation, and legal and ethical standards. In addition, an online search was conducted using a search engine such as Google to discover health sites data from five portals and websites including 2022 social media usage statistics from PWC, Infographics Archive, and Statista online domains on some of the most well-known social media toolkits. Figure Figure2 2 shows the inclusion and exclusion criteria of this study and Figure Figure3 3 shows the summary status of this study.
The image is created by the author (ASR) of this study.
Role of social media in public health
Disease Surveillance and Public Health Surveillance
Social-networking sites for clinicians, patients, and the general public hold potential for harnessing the collective wisdom of the masses for public health surveillance. Organizations like the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network of the World Health Organization (WHO) also relies on web sources for up-to-date surveillance activities as data were not captured via any traditional method [ 15 ]. A 2018 study conducted by Yasmin and her team examined geolocated tweets for public health surveillance during a mass gathering in Canada and compare Twitter data against other data sources for heat alerts during the 2015 Pan/Parapan American Games. His study stated that Syndromic surveillance uses pre-diagnostic data, and the inclusion of syndromic data sources in public health surveillance for mass gatherings has been shown is useful [ 16 ].
The platform has an opportune disease surveillance area, improving its capability to detect disease outbreaks. Media and techniques known as user-generated information and real-time information surveillance of various public health outcomes, such as influenza, foodborne illnesses, or heat alerts, can identify cases of infectious diseases more quickly, which in the case of alerts, may permit investigation or action. A study conducted by Wakamiya et al. in 2018 using Twitter to detect Influenza outbreaks via geotagging tweets and trapped sensors supported the evidence [ 17 ]. Another study, Platform for Automated Extraction of Disease Information from the Web, by Arsevska et al., developed a platform to detect automatically animal infection outbreaks in France from their online news sources (PADI-web). Data were retrieved from 4,500 news websites, including Google News [ 18 ]. This paper serves as an excellent illustration of how such a web-based system has been fully implemented and evaluated. Using text categorization, authors Effland et al. created a system for finding foodborne illnesses reported in Yelp restaurant reviews. The New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH) uses the system to track concerns about foodborne illnesses on Yelp [ 19 ].
Health Researchers
Studies have shown that social media is used by health researchers for a variety of research-related goals. The platform is most frequently utilized to find participants and get data from the Internet (e.g., content analysis of social media posts and data mining on social media) [ 20 ]. It also helps in networking with colleagues and knowledge users, to distribute public health research, for example, sharing links about scientific publications or research on social media can help to broaden readership, exponentially increasing reach [ 21 ]. We identified the three most popular social media platforms in 2020; Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram, as the major social media platforms in use for health research [ 22 ]. Professional associations, public health organizations (such as WHO and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)), and hospitals frequently communicate via social media about science and health [ 21 ]. Social media is used by all major news organizations, giving additional distribution channels and ways to mix current events with smartphone capabilities [ 21 ].
Enhance Professional Development
There are many opportunities for professional engagement outside of conventional contexts due to the growing social media presence of academics, physicians, business professionals, public health departments, and healthcare systems. Public health experts can interact with the public through several Twitter chats, including CDC chats [ 21 ].
Influence Policy
Sharing arguments in favor of or against health policies with the general public, decision-makers, and other important stakeholders is made possible by social media. Using social media to inform constituents about proposed laws and encouraging them to contact political representatives to voice their ideas can have an impact on politicians' behavior because politicians are driven to please their voters. Social media is becoming more and more important in discussions of politics and policy, as evidenced by the president's massive Twitter following and usage of the platform to interact directly with the people [ 21 ].
Combat Misinformation
Suppose public health professionals are more active on social media. In that case, it may be possible to mitigate the impacts of people making false claims and to boost fact-checking initiatives by making more accurate online health information available. Hence, social media interaction with experts might help dispel incorrect information [ 21 ].
Health and Behavioral Change
In a study released in 2022 by Bonar et al., the authors employed social media adverts to target young people who engaged in risky drinking and came up with some encouraging findings [ 23 ]. The prevalence of cannabis use among emerging adults (aged 18 to 25) necessitates preventive measures. Bonar et al. conducted another study in 2022 to develop an eight-week persuasive questioning and behavioral intervention focusing on cannabis usage among emerging adults using the unique platform of social media [ 24 ].
Health Promotion
The included research showed that various social media outlets could raise the degree of women's health promotion [ 25 ], awareness of menstrual hygiene, understanding of breast cancer awareness [ 26 ], breastfeeding techniques [ 27 ], and adherence, self-perception and promotion of oral health [ 28 , 29 ], significant use of antibiotics [ 30 ], consistency with exercise, sexual health promotion [ 31 ], road safety awareness [ 32 ], smoking cessation, adverse drug reaction reporting [ 33 ], and many more in a row.
Healthcare Provider’s Perspectives on Social Media Usage
Healthcare professionals (HCPs) are constantly looking for better and more effective ways to reach greater audiences, particularly those who were difficult to reach through conventional techniques. This social networking platform offers professionals for health promotion with cost-effective opportunities to advance their careers by building communities of professionals, participating in professional development activities, and meliorating classroom learning [ 34 ]. These interactive tools and platforms are already commonplace in clinical settings, and many practitioners use them to connect with their target audience on both a personal and professional level [ 34 ].
Patients’ Perspectives on Social Media Usage
In social media, there are 74% of Internet users, and 80% of those use social media to research doctors, hospitals, and medical news and information [ 35 ]. Consumers on social media who view health-related consumer reviews are 42% and 32% of users share their friends' or family members' health experiences (PWC) [ 36 ]. In the most popular use social platform Facebook, 28% of health conversations support a health-related cause (from the Infographics Archive) [ 36 ]. Susannah Fox, Chief Technology Officer at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, refers to this emerging trend as "peer-to-peer health care," explaining that "patients are willing to share what they know, related to health, treatments, sources, facilities." "Peer-to-peer health care" is described by Fox as "the most exciting innovation in health care today" [ 13 ].
Due to patients' improved knowledge of health information and their increased involvement in maintaining their health, social media has indisputably altered the relationship between patients and practitioners. Other areas where social media can be helpful for patients include identifying health professionals, peer support and sharing experiences, promoting healthy behavior, and so on [ 37 ]. It may improve health outcomes by facilitating communication about health issues between general health professionals, patients, and the public.
Table Table1 1 enlists studies conducted all over the world on the use of social media as a tool in various health sectors.
S. No. | Authors | Year | Studies/findings | Health sectors |
1 | Bonar et al. [ ] | 2022 | Interventions using social media to prevent risky drinking in young adults and adolescents | Health behavioral change |
2 | Bonar et al. [ ] | 2022 | A social media campaign to reduce cannabis consumption among young adults | Health behavioral change |
3 | Leong et al. [ ] | 2022 | Improve Type 2 Diabetes Patients' Self-Management and Attitudes During the COVID-19 Pandemic via social media-Delivered Patient Education | Medical Education |
4 | Mattingly, T. Joseph [ ] | 2015 | Using social media for creative patient care | Medical Education |
5 | AlSadrah, Sana A. [ ] | 2021 | Use of social media in the Gulf Cooperation Council to promote public health | Health promotion and education |
6 | Stellefson et al. [ ] | 2020 | Social Media's Changing Role in Health Promotion | Health promotion and education |
7 | Kesten et al. [ ] | 2019 | distributing information on social media to promote sexual health | Health promotion and education |
8 | Bulcock et al. [ ] | 2021 | Improve Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting | Health promotion and education |
9 | Veerappan et al. [ ] | 2022 | Road traffic safety awareness | Health promotion and education |
10 | Sharma et al. [ ] | 2022 | Oral Health Hygiene | Health promotion and education |
11 | Dewi et al. [ ] | 2022 | Breast self-examination practice | Health promotion and education |
12 | Munyan et al. [ ] | 2022 | Promoting breastfeeding | Health promotion and education |
13 | Zucco et al. [ ] | 2018 | Using social media to look for information about antibiotics | Health promotion and education |
14 | Breland et al. [ ] | 2017 | Utilizing Social Media to Broaden the Impact of Public Health Research | Health research |
15 | Dol et al. [ ] | 2019 | Social media use by Health Researchers | Health research |
16 | Aiello et al. [ ] | 2020 | Internet and social media for Disease Surveillance in Public Health | Disease surveillance |
Challenges to using social media for health purposes
Misinformation
The longest impediment to the internet, in general, is that it's open to everyone; anyone can post information on any topic they want [ 10 ]. This turns people into self-appointed experts and (knowingly or unknowingly) spreads false information, certain online information can have different points of view and vary depending on geographical and cultural factors [ 10 ]. These conflict-causing situations are tactics to deal with, and how users sharing that information can be protected are some of the digital era’s other challenges.
Patient Privacy Concerns
Due to data confidentiality concerns, some patients are hesitant to share information via the web platform [ 36 ]. Posting distinguishable health information on these platforms without concern for patients would undoubtedly create unfaith and overstep their privacy boundary, as well as question occupation as a whole. If the staff does not follow the necessary guidelines, social media can lead to HIPAA violations (Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act) [ 36 ]. In some cases, the content posted by healthcare professionals on their social accounts was so bad that the provider who published the content that drew criticism left the platform altogether - Reputational Harm [ 10 ].
Social Media and Mental Health
Although the majority of college students use social media without incident, a minority percentage of users engage in excessive or compulsive behavior on these platforms. Problematic social media use is a behavioral addiction defined by excessive worry over online activities, uncontrollable cravings to access or use social media, and spending so much time and energy on social media that it has a negative influence on significant parts of one's life. In India, 19.9% of college students that use social media have problematic social media [ 43 ]. It is understandable that parents, policymakers, and researchers all want to know how adolescents' frequent use of social media affects their mental health because it gives them numerous opportunities to engage in risky behaviors, join questionable communities, and interact with strangers without parental supervision [ 44 ].
Public Health Emergencies and Social Media
People and communities experience stress during public health emergencies. It is challenging to disseminate official public health information on infectious diseases because people frequently get information from social contacts through personal interactions or social media, subject to bias and misunderstanding. Misinformation during the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in 2019 was associated with aggression, mistrust, social unrest, and targeted assaults on healthcare workers [ 45 ]. During the SARS outbreak in China in 2002-2003, Asian people faced social stigma as a result of their fear of contracting the disease [ 45 ]. Rumors about COVID-19 have been labeled a global enemy by the UN secretary-general [ 45 ]. Although debunking research has demonstrated that well-designed corrections can reduce the effects of false information, nothing is known about the effects of correction in the context of protracted social media arguments [ 46 ].
Subjecting Ethical Issue
Patients must be empowered with accurate and up-to-date information about their health to make fully informed treatment decisions, as their autonomy should be valued [ 47 ]. Physicians should be held accountable for using the powers endowed upon them by the patient's trust as trust is a pillar of the medical profession [ 47 ], and their healthcare practice should be motivated by good intentions at all times. Indeed, when using social media to connect with patients directly or share information, physicians as healthcare professionals should always consider the proper measure while communicating or sharing content [ 47 ]. When using social media, one should be mindful of the rules and ethical considerations. Information subjecting to harm someone's beliefs, norms, or any religious concerns is another major issue.
Legal Requirements for Social Media Use in the Health Sector
Guidelines are especially useful in new and evolving areas. If information or practices turn out to be incomparable, guidelines are created to connect them [ 2 ]. The guidelines aim to suggest, discover, and guide learners through questionnaires [ 2 ]. Medical schools have taken disciplinary action against amateurish digital information posted by medical students, including dismissal in some cases [ 48 ]. In November 2010, the American Medical Association (AMA) issued a policy statement about how professionals should use social media channels cautiously, separating professional and personal profiles and keeping patient details private [ 48 ]. Similarly, the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) outlines some similar areas [ 49 ]. The American College of Physicians-Federations of State Medical Boards (ACP-FSMB) guidelines on Online Medical Professionalism state that guidelines are a baseline and starting point which needs to be evolved or restructured timely by parallelly adopting advanced technologies and eventually emerging with best practices [ 2 ]. They also worked on social media and web networking usage guidelines [ 2 ]. Nevertheless, there are still concerns about maintaining professional boundaries when using social media. In addition, there are still no agreements on what constitutes professional Internet behavior, except for the most horrific mistakes in professional unethical and illegal activities [ 49 ]. Even though it is difficult to measure and teach professionalism objectively, progress is being made in areas such as confidential patient details, pharmaceutical companies’ involvement details, ethics, and a lawsuit, skills of interaction, and portable health insurance [ 49 ].
Mix influence
Social media platforms allow for the exchange of health-related information, health promotion, policy influence, the development of relationships between healthcare practitioners and patients, the identification of drug misuse or misunderstandings among the general public, the dissemination of accurate information, and the collection of concurrent health data. This platform is used by public health organizations such as the WHO's Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network for real-time surveillance [ 15 ]. It appears to be a useful platform for health researchers looking to recruit participants and collect data from the Internet. These online platforms appear to be a useful way of providing behavioral counseling, lending credence to the idea that social networking influences individual and group decision-making. Trust, compliance, and knowledgeable content should be prioritized for social media to have an impact on the population, which in turn has an impact on public health. More research is needed to determine how to promote healthy behaviors and collect and disseminate reliable information using these tools. False-positive data, on the other hand, continues to impede the accuracy of the Internet-based monitoring system. Patient privacy concerns, as well as religious-cultural sentiments, can all be easily violated as a result of an undefined policy of using social media to spread violence and disbelief. Social media acts as a quick platform during a public emergency for disseminating rumors, exposing false information and conspiracy theories, and escalating fear and stigma directed at specific people and locations. Numerous challenges, including authority, professionalism, confidentiality, customs, information quality, and secrecy, as well as the tremendous role that social networks play in medical and public health care, remain unaddressed.
Our findings suggest that social media is an emerging platform with numerous opportunities for us to use it in public health and that it has an impact on the relationship between physician and patient, public trust in the system, and potential lawsuits, as well as changes in various health sectors such as health interventions, behavioral modification and promotion, health campaigns, medical education, disease outbreak surveillance, health research, and more. Because of the two ends of the spectrum, our analysis shows that, while social media can be a powerful tool for the public health sector in the current digital era, there are also drawbacks to consider. These booming platforms are not exempt from these drawbacks, which include potential moral, ethical, legal, and privacy violations, professional behavior concerns, compliance-related issues, and societal ramifications. In addition, some major ethical issues are discussed briefly, the AMA policy about professionalism in social media use, ACP-FSMB guidelines for Online Medical Professionalism, and HIPAA social media violations are used to present certain proposed regulations and guidelines for using social media for the population's health, which may be applied for avoiding such consequences.
To summarize, even if there are multiple issues, risks, and dangers, we can overcome these obstacles and utilize technology to its fullest extent if problems are addressed, acknowledged, and tried to be eliminated. Focusing on how we might use social media and its attendant demands is both necessary and ethical because it may be difficult to achieve continuous growth and evolution without setting adequate criteria and regulations for doing so. The limited and conflicting results of critical evaluations of previously published research on the influence of social media on public health issues give credibility to this argument. Our research indicates that the use of social media in public health has conflicting results, and it is advised that more research be done in this area.
The content published in Cureus is the result of clinical experience and/or research by independent individuals or organizations. Cureus is not responsible for the scientific accuracy or reliability of data or conclusions published herein. All content published within Cureus is intended only for educational, research and reference purposes. Additionally, articles published within Cureus should not be deemed a suitable substitute for the advice of a qualified health care professional. Do not disregard or avoid professional medical advice due to content published within Cureus.
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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Public trust in the federal government, which has been low for decades, has increased modestly since 2023 . As of April 2024, 22% of Americans say they trust the government in Washington to do what is right “just about always” (2%) or “most of the time” (21%). Last year, 16% said they trusted the government just about always or most of the time, which was among the lowest measures in nearly seven decades of polling.
Date | . | Individual polls | Moving average |
---|---|---|---|
5/19/2024 | PEW | 22 | 22 |
6/11/2023 | PEW | 16 | 19 |
5/01/2022 | PEW | 20 | 20 |
4/11/2021 | PEW | 24 | 21 |
8/2/2020 | PEW | 20 | 24 |
4/12/2020 | PEW | 27 | 21 |
3/25/2019 | PEW | 17 | 17 |
12/04/2017 | PEW | 18 | 18 |
4/11/2017 | PEW | 20 | 19 |
10/04/2015 | PEW | 19 | 18 |
7/20/2014 | CNN | 14 | 19 |
2/26/2014 | PEW | 24 | 18 |
11/15/2013 | CBS/NYT | 17 | 20 |
10/13/2013 | PEW | 19 | 19 |
5/31/2013 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 20 |
2/06/2013 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 22 |
1/13/2013 | PEW | 26 | 23 |
10/31/2012 | NES | 22 | 19 |
10/19/2011 | CBS/NYT | 10 | 17 |
10/04/2011 | PEW | 20 | 15 |
9/23/2011 | CNN | 15 | 18 |
8/21/2011 | PEW | 19 | 21 |
2/28/2011 | PEW | 29 | 23 |
10/21/2010 | CBS/NYT | 22 | 23 |
10/01/2010 | CBS/NYT | 18 | 21 |
9/06/2010 | PEW | 24 | 23 |
9/01/2010 | CNN | 25 | 23 |
4/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 23 |
4/05/2010 | PEW | 25 | 22 |
3/21/2010 | PEW | 22 | 24 |
2/12/2010 | CNN | 26 | 22 |
2/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 19 | 21 |
1/10/2010 | GALLUP | 19 | 20 |
12/20/2009 | CNN | 20 | 21 |
8/31/2009 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 22 |
6/12/2009 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 23 |
12/21/2008 | CNN | 26 | 25 |
10/15/2008 | NES | 31 | 24 |
10/13/2008 | CBS/NYT | 17 | 24 |
7/09/2007 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 24 |
1/09/2007 | PEW | 31 | 28 |
10/08/2006 | CBS/NYT | 29 | 29 |
9/15/2006 | CBS/NYT | 28 | 30 |
2/05/2006 | PEW | 34 | 31 |
1/20/2006 | CBS/NYT | 32 | 33 |
1/06/2006 | GALLUP | 32 | 32 |
12/02/2005 | CBS/NYT | 32 | 32 |
9/11/2005 | PEW | 31 | 31 |
9/09/2005 | CBS/NYT | 29 | 30 |
6/19/2005 | GALLUP | 30 | 35 |
10/15/2004 | NES | 46 | 39 |
7/15/2004 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 41 |
3/21/2004 | PEW | 36 | 38 |
10/26/2003 | GALLUP | 37 | 36 |
7/27/2003 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 43 |
10/15/2002 | NES | 55 | 46 |
9/04/2002 | GALLUP | 46 | 46 |
9/02/2002 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 40 |
7/13/2002 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 40 |
6/17/2002 | GALLUP | 44 | 43 |
1/24/2002 | CBS/NYT | 46 | 46 |
12/07/2001 | CBS/NYT | 48 | 49 |
10/25/2001 | CBS/NYT | 55 | 54 |
10/06/2001 | GALLUP | 60 | 49 |
1/17/2001 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 44 |
10/31/2000 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 38 |
10/15/2000 | NES | 44 | 42 |
7/09/2000 | GALLUP | 42 | 39 |
4/02/2000 | ABC/POST | 31 | 38 |
2/14/2000 | PEW | 40 | 34 |
10/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 36 |
9/14/1999 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 33 |
5/16/1999 | PEW | 31 | 33 |
2/21/1999 | PEW | 31 | 31 |
2/12/1999 | ABC/POST | 32 | 32 |
2/04/1999 | GALLUP | 33 | 34 |
1/10/1999 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 34 |
1/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 37 |
12/01/1998 | NES | 40 | 33 |
11/15/1998 | PEW | 26 | 30 |
11/01/1998 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 26 |
10/26/1998 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 28 |
8/10/1998 | ABC/POST | 34 | 31 |
2/22/1998 | PEW | 34 | 35 |
2/01/1998 | GALLUP | 39 | 33 |
1/25/1998 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 32 |
1/19/1998 | ABC/POST | 31 | 32 |
10/31/1997 | PEW | 39 | 31 |
8/27/1997 | ABC/POST | 22 | 31 |
6/01/1997 | GALLUP | 32 | 26 |
1/14/1997 | CBS/NYT | 23 | 27 |
11/02/1996 | CBS/NYT | 25 | 27 |
10/15/1996 | NES | 33 | 28 |
5/12/1996 | GALLUP | 27 | 31 |
5/06/1996 | ABC/POST | 34 | 29 |
11/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 25 | 27 |
8/07/1995 | GALLUP | 22 | 22 |
8/05/1995 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 21 |
3/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 22 | 20 |
2/22/1995 | CBS/NYT | 18 | 21 |
12/01/1994 | NES | 22 | 21 |
10/29/1994 | CBS/NYT | 22 | 22 |
10/23/1994 | ABC/POST | 22 | 20 |
6/06/1994 | GALLUP | 17 | 19 |
1/30/1994 | GALLUP | 19 | 20 |
1/20/1994 | ABC/POST | 24 | 22 |
3/24/1993 | GALLUP | 22 | 25 |
1/17/1993 | ABC/POST | 28 | 25 |
1/14/1993 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 25 |
10/23/1992 | CBS/NYT | 22 | 25 |
10/15/1992 | NES | 29 | 25 |
6/08/1992 | GALLUP | 23 | 29 |
10/20/1991 | ABC/POST | 35 | 35 |
3/06/1991 | CBS/NYT | 47 | 42 |
3/01/1991 | ABC/POST | 45 | 46 |
1/27/1991 | ABC/POST | 46 | 40 |
12/01/1990 | NES | 28 | 33 |
10/28/1990 | CBS/NYT | 25 | 32 |
9/06/1990 | ABC/POST | 42 | 35 |
1/16/1990 | ABC/POST | 38 | 38 |
6/29/1989 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 39 |
1/15/1989 | CBS/NYT | 44 | 41 |
11/10/1988 | CBS/NYT | 44 | 43 |
10/15/1988 | NES | 41 | 41 |
1/23/1988 | ABC/POST | 39 | 40 |
10/18/1987 | CBS/NYT | 41 | 43 |
6/01/1987 | ABC/POST | 47 | 43 |
3/01/1987 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 44 |
1/21/1987 | CBS/NYT | 43 | 43 |
1/19/1987 | ABC/POST | 44 | 42 |
12/01/1986 | NES | 39 | 44 |
11/30/1986 | CBS/NYT | 49 | 43 |
9/09/1986 | ABC/POST | 40 | 44 |
1/19/1986 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 44 |
11/06/1985 | CBS/NYT | 49 | 43 |
7/29/1985 | ABC/POST | 38 | 42 |
3/21/1985 | ABC/POST | 37 | 40 |
2/27/1985 | CBS/NYT | 46 | 42 |
2/22/1985 | ABC/POST | 43 | 45 |
11/14/1984 | CBS/NYT | 46 | 44 |
10/15/1984 | NES | 44 | 41 |
12/01/1982 | NES | 33 | 39 |
11/07/1980 | CBS/NYT | 39 | 32 |
10/15/1980 | NES | 25 | 30 |
3/12/1980 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 27 |
11/03/1979 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 28 |
12/01/1978 | NES | 29 | 31 |
10/23/1977 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 32 |
4/25/1977 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 34 |
10/15/1976 | NES | 33 | 36 |
9/05/1976 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 35 |
6/15/1976 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 35 |
3/01/1976 | GALLUP | 33 | 34 |
2/08/1976 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 35 |
12/01/1974 | NES | 36 | 36 |
10/15/1972 | NES | 53 | 53 |
12/01/1970 | NES | 54 | 54 |
10/15/1968 | NES | 62 | 62 |
12/01/1966 | NES | 65 | 65 |
10/15/1964 | NES | 77 | 77 |
12/01/1958 | NES | 73 | 73 |
When the National Election Study began asking about trust in government in 1958, about three-quarters of Americans trusted the federal government to do the right thing almost always or most of the time.
Trust in government began eroding during the 1960s, amid the escalation of the Vietnam War, and the decline continued in the 1970s with the Watergate scandal and worsening economic struggles.
Confidence in government recovered in the mid-1980s before falling again in the mid-’90s. But as the economy grew in the late 1990s, so too did trust in government. Public trust reached a three-decade high shortly after the 9/11 terrorist attacks but declined quickly after. Since 2007, the shares saying they can trust the government always or most of the time have not been higher than 30%.
Today, 35% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they trust the federal government just about always or most of the time, compared with 11% of Republicans and Republican leaners.
Democrats report slightly more trust in the federal government today than a year ago. Republicans’ views have been relatively unchanged over this period.
Since the 1970s, trust in government has been consistently higher among members of the party that controls the White House than among the opposition party.
Republicans have often been more reactive than Democrats to changes in political leadership, with Republicans expressing much lower levels of trust during Democratic presidencies. Democrats’ attitudes have tended to be somewhat more consistent, regardless of which party controls the White House.
However, Republican and Democratic shifts in attitudes from the end of Donald Trump’s presidency to the start of Joe Biden’s were roughly the same magnitude.
Date | . | Democrat/Lean Dem | Republican/Lean Rep |
---|---|---|---|
5/19/2024 | PEW | 35 | 11 |
6/11/2023 | PEW | 25 | 8 |
5/1/2022 | PEW | 29 | 9 |
4/11/2021 | PEW | 36 | 9 |
8/2/2020 | PEW | 12 | 28 |
4/12/2020 | PEW | 18 | 36 |
3/25/2019 | PEW | 14 | 21 |
12/04/2017 | PEW | 15 | 22 |
4/11/2017 | PEW | 15 | 28 |
10/04/2015 | PEW | 26 | 11 |
7/20/2014 | CNN | 17 | 11 |
2/26/2014 | PEW | 32 | 16 |
11/15/2013 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 8 |
10/13/2013 | PEW | 27 | 10 |
5/31/2013 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 8 |
2/06/2013 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 8 |
1/13/2013 | PEW | 37 | 15 |
10/31/2012 | NES | 29 | 16 |
10/19/2011 | CBS/NYT | 13 | 8 |
10/04/2011 | PEW | 27 | 12 |
9/23/2011 | CNN | 20 | 11 |
8/21/2011 | PEW | 25 | 13 |
3/01/2011 | PEW | 34 | 24 |
10/21/2010 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 7 |
10/01/2010 | CBS/NYT | 27 | 13 |
9/06/2010 | PEW | 35 | 13 |
9/01/2010 | CNN | 31 | 18 |
4/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 27 | 14 |
3/21/2010 | PEW | 32 | 13 |
2/12/2010 | CNN | 34 | 18 |
2/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 9 |
1/10/2010 | GALLUP | 23 | 16 |
12/20/2009 | CNN | 25 | 16 |
8/31/2009 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 12 |
6/12/2009 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 10 |
12/21/2008 | CNN | 30 | 22 |
10/15/2008 | NES | 34 | 31 |
10/13/2008 | CBS/NYT | 12 | 19 |
7/09/2007 | CBS/NYT | 18 | 31 |
1/09/2007 | PEW | 22 | 43 |
10/08/2006 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 50 |
9/15/2006 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 44 |
2/05/2006 | PEW | 20 | 53 |
1/20/2006 | CBS/NYT | 23 | 51 |
1/06/2006 | GALLUP | 20 | 44 |
12/02/2005 | CBS/NYT | 19 | 52 |
9/11/2005 | PEW | 19 | 49 |
9/09/2005 | CBS/NYT | 21 | 42 |
6/19/2005 | GALLUP | 24 | 36 |
10/15/2004 | NES | 35 | 61 |
3/21/2004 | PEW | 24 | 55 |
10/26/2003 | GALLUP | 35 | 42 |
7/27/2003 | CBS/NYT | 25 | 51 |
10/15/2002 | NES | 52 | 63 |
9/04/2002 | GALLUP | 38 | 55 |
9/02/2002 | CBS/NYT | 32 | 52 |
7/13/2002 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 45 |
6/17/2002 | GALLUP | 33 | 55 |
1/24/2002 | CBS/NYT | 39 | 56 |
12/07/2001 | CBS/NYT | 39 | 60 |
10/25/2001 | CBS/NYT | 47 | 70 |
10/06/2001 | GALLUP | 52 | 68 |
1/17/2001 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 38 |
10/15/2000 | NES | 48 | 43 |
7/09/2000 | GALLUP | 42 | 41 |
4/02/2000 | ABC/POST | 38 | 24 |
2/14/2000 | PEW | 46 | 37 |
10/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 27 |
9/14/1999 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 35 |
5/16/1999 | PEW | 36 | 30 |
2/21/1999 | PEW | 35 | 25 |
2/12/1999 | ABC/POST | 41 | 21 |
2/04/1999 | GALLUP | 38 | 29 |
1/10/1999 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 33 |
1/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 29 |
12/01/1998 | NES | 45 | 35 |
11/19/1998 | PEW | 31 | 23 |
11/01/1998 | CBS/NYT | 28 | 22 |
10/26/1998 | CBS/NYT | 28 | 25 |
8/10/1998 | ABC/POST | 40 | 30 |
2/22/1998 | PEW | 42 | 28 |
2/01/1998 | GALLUP | 52 | 26 |
1/25/1998 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 22 |
10/31/1997 | PEW | 46 | 32 |
6/01/1997 | GALLUP | 39 | 25 |
1/14/1997 | CBS/NYT | 29 | 20 |
11/02/1996 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 20 |
10/15/1996 | NES | 40 | 27 |
5/12/1996 | GALLUP | 32 | 20 |
5/06/1996 | ABC/POST | 41 | 35 |
11/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 27 | 26 |
8/07/1995 | GALLUP | 24 | 21 |
8/05/1995 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 20 |
3/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 27 | 20 |
2/22/1995 | CBS/NYT | 18 | 19 |
12/01/1994 | NES | 26 | 18 |
10/29/1994 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 19 |
10/23/1994 | ABC/POST | 27 | 16 |
6/06/1994 | GALLUP | 23 | 11 |
1/30/1994 | GALLUP | 25 | 14 |
1/20/1994 | ABC/POST | 30 | 18 |
3/24/1993 | GALLUP | 32 | 11 |
1/17/1993 | ABC/POST | 32 | 25 |
1/14/1993 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 21 |
10/23/1992 | CBS/NYT | 17 | 31 |
10/15/1992 | NES | 31 | 34 |
6/08/1992 | GALLUP | 17 | 31 |
10/20/1991 | ABC/POST | 31 | 41 |
3/06/1991 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 56 |
3/01/1991 | ABC/POST | 41 | 52 |
12/01/1990 | NES | 26 | 32 |
10/28/1990 | CBS/NYT | 21 | 31 |
9/06/1990 | ABC/POST | 37 | 48 |
1/16/1990 | ABC/POST | 32 | 46 |
6/29/1989 | CBS/NYT | 27 | 45 |
1/15/1989 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 54 |
11/10/1988 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 58 |
10/15/1988 | NES | 35 | 51 |
1/23/1988 | ABC/POST | 31 | 51 |
10/18/1987 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 47 |
6/01/1987 | ABC/POST | 38 | 59 |
3/01/1987 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 54 |
1/21/1987 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 51 |
1/19/1987 | ABC/POST | 39 | 51 |
12/01/1986 | NES | 31 | 53 |
11/30/1986 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 63 |
9/09/1986 | ABC/POST | 30 | 51 |
1/19/1986 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 51 |
11/06/1985 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 59 |
7/29/1985 | ABC/POST | 30 | 48 |
3/21/1985 | ABC/POST | 29 | 49 |
2/22/1985 | ABC/POST | 30 | 62 |
11/14/1984 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 59 |
10/15/1984 | NES | 41 | 50 |
12/01/1982 | NES | 32 | 41 |
11/07/1980 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 42 |
10/15/1980 | NES | 31 | 23 |
3/12/1980 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 22 |
11/03/1979 | CBS/NYT | 32 | 28 |
12/01/1978 | NES | 33 | 26 |
10/23/1977 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 25 |
4/25/1977 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 34 |
10/15/1976 | NES | 30 | 42 |
9/05/1976 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 45 |
6/15/1976 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 36 |
3/01/1976 | GALLUP | 31 | 40 |
12/01/1974 | NES | 36 | 38 |
10/15/1972 | NES | 48 | 62 |
12/01/1970 | NES | 52 | 61 |
10/15/1968 | NES | 66 | 60 |
12/01/1966 | NES | 71 | 54 |
10/15/1964 | NES | 80 | 73 |
12/01/1958 | NES | 71 | 79 |
Date | . | Liberal Dem/Lean Dem | Cons-Moderate Dem/Lean Dem | Moderate-Lib Rep/Lean Rep | Conservative Rep/Lean Rep |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/19/2024 | PEW | 33 | 36 | 17 | 7 |
6/11/2023 | PEW | 23 | 27 | 14 | 4 |
5/1/2022 | PEW | 26 | 32 | 13 | 7 |
4/11/2021 | PEW | 31 | 40 | 16 | 5 |
8/2/2020 | PEW | 8 | 16 | 31 | 27 |
4/12/2020 | PEW | 12 | 22 | 37 | 37 |
3/25/2019 | PEW | 13 | 15 | 21 | 20 |
12/04/2017 | PEW | 15 | 16 | 26 | 20 |
4/11/2017 | PEW | 15 | 16 | 32 | 26 |
10/04/2015 | PEW | 28 | 25 | 14 | 9 |
7/20/2014 | CNN | 19 | 16 | 15 | 7 |
2/26/2014 | PEW | 31 | 33 | 21 | 13 |
11/15/2013 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 25 | 13 | 5 |
10/13/2013 | PEW | 25 | 27 | 16 | 7 |
5/31/2013 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 |
2/06/2013 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 34 | 9 | 7 |
1/13/2013 | PEW | 34 | 37 | 17 | 14 |
10/31/2012 | NES | 26 | 32 | 18 | 15 |
10/19/2011 | CBS/NYT | 9 | 13 | 11 | 7 |
10/04/2011 | PEW | 30 | 25 | 14 | 9 |
9/23/2011 | CNN | 30 | 16 | 11 | 11 |
8/21/2011 | PEW | 26 | 24 | 18 | 10 |
3/01/2011 | PEW | 36 | 33 | 32 | 18 |
10/21/2010 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 35 | 12 | 4 |
10/01/2010 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 22 | 10 | 16 |
9/06/2010 | PEW | 39 | 31 | 19 | 10 |
9/01/2010 | CNN | 36 | 30 | 28 | 11 |
4/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 21 | 23 | 7 |
3/21/2010 | PEW | 36 | 31 | 19 | 11 |
2/12/2010 | CNN | 36 | 34 | 25 | 9 |
2/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 32 | 13 | 7 |
1/10/2010 | GALLUP | 29 | 22 | 20 | 12 |
12/20/2009 | CNN | 31 | 23 | 18 | 13 |
8/31/2009 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 30 | 14 | 10 |
6/12/2009 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 34 | 13 | 8 |
12/21/2008 | CNN | 36 | 28 | 28 | 17 |
10/15/2008 | NES | 37 | 34 | 48 | 28 |
10/13/2008 | CBS/NYT | 16 | 12 | 26 | 12 |
7/09/2007 | CBS/NYT | 14 | 21 | 38 | 28 |
1/09/2007 | PEW | 15 | 25 | 41 | 45 |
10/08/2006 | CBS/NYT | 14 | 22 | 50 | 51 |
9/15/2006 | CBS/NYT | 11 | 23 | 44 | 44 |
2/05/2006 | PEW | 13 | 23 | 52 | 54 |
1/20/2006 | CBS/NYT | 27 | 21 | 52 | 50 |
1/06/2006 | GALLUP | 10 | 26 | 33 | 56 |
12/02/2005 | CBS/NYT | 16 | 21 | 60 | 47 |
9/11/2005 | PEW | 13 | 22 | 39 | 54 |
9/09/2005 | CBS/NYT | 12 | 26 | 46 | 41 |
6/19/2005 | GALLUP | 25 | 24 | 31 | 41 |
10/15/2004 | NES | 24 | 39 | 63 | 59 |
3/21/2004 | PEW | 23 | 24 | 53 | 56 |
10/26/2003 | GALLUP | 23 | 39 | 31 | 52 |
7/27/2003 | CBS/NYT | 21 | 27 | 55 | 47 |
10/15/2002 | NES | 53 | 56 | 66 | 61 |
9/04/2002 | GALLUP | 31 | 40 | 50 | 60 |
9/02/2002 | CBS/NYT | 32 | 32 | 55 | 53 |
7/13/2002 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 33 | 50 | 42 |
6/17/2002 | GALLUP | 30 | 36 | 59 | 55 |
1/24/2002 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 39 | 58 | 54 |
12/07/2001 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 43 | 61 | 58 |
10/06/2001 | GALLUP | 46 | 55 | 66 | 69 |
1/17/2001 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 24 | 41 | 33 |
10/15/2000 | NES | 58 | 52 | 54 | 44 |
7/09/2000 | GALLUP | 41 | 42 | 50 | 35 |
4/02/2000 | ABC/POST | 38 | 39 | 28 | 20 |
10/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 33 | 29 | 24 |
9/14/1999 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 45 | 42 | 27 |
2/12/1999 | ABC/POST | 40 | 43 | 26 | 16 |
2/04/1999 | GALLUP | 36 | 40 | 33 | 27 |
1/10/1999 | CBS/NYT | 39 | 44 | 40 | 28 |
1/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 39 | 31 | 26 |
12/01/1998 | NES | 45 | 46 | 39 | 34 |
11/01/1998 | CBS/NYT | 28 | 28 | 23 | 22 |
10/26/1998 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
8/10/1998 | ABC/POST | 38 | 35 | 24 | 27 |
2/01/1998 | GALLUP | 55 | 52 | 33 | 23 |
1/25/1998 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 31 | 24 | 19 |
6/01/1997 | GALLUP | 41 | 38 | 31 | 21 |
1/14/1997 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 28 | 25 | 14 |
11/02/1996 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 32 | 21 | 19 |
10/15/1996 | NES | 38 | 39 | 30 | 25 |
5/12/1996 | GALLUP | 25 | 35 | 25 | 18 |
5/06/1996 | ABC/POST | 41 | 41 | 39 | 33 |
11/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 26 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
8/07/1995 | GALLUP | 16 | 27 | 17 | 25 |
8/05/1995 | CBS/NYT | 21 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
3/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 24 | 28 | 22 | 17 |
2/22/1995 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 18 | 22 | 17 |
12/01/1994 | NES | 22 | 28 | 21 | 16 |
10/29/1994 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 27 | 23 | 15 |
10/23/1994 | ABC/POST | 32 | 25 | 22 | 11 |
6/06/1994 | GALLUP | 16 | 26 | 15 | 9 |
1/30/1994 | GALLUP | 20 | 27 | 18 | 12 |
1/20/1994 | ABC/POST | 26 | 31 | 25 | 10 |
1/17/1993 | ABC/POST | 30 | 33 | 28 | 22 |
1/14/1993 | CBS/NYT | 17 | 30 | 20 | 20 |
10/23/1992 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 15 | 30 | 32 |
10/15/1992 | NES | 26 | 33 | 37 | 31 |
6/08/1992 | GALLUP | 13 | 19 | 31 | 30 |
10/20/1991 | ABC/POST | 25 | 33 | 42 | 39 |
3/06/1991 | CBS/NYT | 46 | 39 | 57 | 56 |
3/01/1991 | ABC/POST | 39 | 41 | 54 | 50 |
12/01/1990 | NES | 27 | 26 | 31 | 33 |
9/06/1990 | ABC/POST | 34 | 39 | 49 | 45 |
1/16/1990 | ABC/POST | 28 | 34 | 50 | 39 |
6/29/1989 | CBS/NYT | 27 | 27 | 38 | 55 |
1/15/1989 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 38 | 56 | 54 |
11/10/1988 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 40 | 65 | 52 |
10/15/1988 | NES | 34 | 35 | 52 | 51 |
1/23/1988 | ABC/POST | 30 | 31 | 54 | 49 |
10/18/1987 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 37 | 47 | 49 |
6/01/1987 | ABC/POST | 34 | 41 | 60 | 55 |
1/21/1987 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 37 | 54 | 48 |
1/19/1987 | ABC/POST | 37 | 38 | 52 | 51 |
12/01/1986 | NES | 25 | 36 | 53 | 53 |
9/09/1986 | ABC/POST | 25 | 34 | 55 | 44 |
1/19/1986 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 38 | 51 | 52 |
11/06/1985 | CBS/NYT | 42 | 43 | 60 | 56 |
7/29/1985 | ABC/POST | 26 | 33 | 53 | 41 |
3/21/1985 | ABC/POST | 27 | 29 | 52 | 48 |
2/22/1985 | ABC/POST | 28 | 33 | 62 | 63 |
10/15/1984 | NES | 34 | 47 | 52 | 46 |
12/01/1982 | NES | 29 | 35 | 48 | 38 |
11/07/1980 | CBS/NYT | 38 | 42 | 44 | 41 |
10/15/1980 | NES | 34 | 28 | 28 | 18 |
3/12/1980 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 29 | 25 | 18 |
11/03/1979 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 31 | 28 | 26 |
12/01/1978 | NES | 38 | 33 | 24 | 24 |
10/23/1977 | CBS/NYT | 41 | 41 | 32 | 16 |
4/25/1977 | CBS/NYT | 41 | 38 | 33 | 36 |
10/15/1976 | NES | 27 | 34 | 49 | 41 |
9/05/1976 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 42 | 45 | 45 |
6/15/1976 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 35 | 39 | 34 |
12/01/1974 | NES | 36 | 40 | 39 | 40 |
10/15/1972 | NES | 44 | 53 | 62 | 66 |
Among Asian, Hispanic and Black adults, 36%, 30% and 27% respectively say they trust the federal government “most of the time” or “just about always” – higher levels of trust than among White adults (19%).
During the last Democratic administration, Black and Hispanic adults similarly expressed more trust in government than White adults. Throughout most recent Republican administrations, White Americans were substantially more likely than Black Americans to express trust in the federal government to do the right thing.
Date | . | Hispanic | Black | White | Asian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/19/2024 | PEW | 30 | 27 | 19 | 36 |
6/11/2023 | PEW | 23 | 21 | 13 | 23 |
5/1/2022 | PEW | 29 | 24 | 16 | 37 |
4/11/2021 | PEW | 36 | 37 | 18 | 29 |
8/2/2020 | PEW | 28 | 15 | 18 | 27 |
4/12/2020 | PEW | 29 | 27 | 26 | |
3/25/2019 | PEW | 28 | 9 | 17 | |
12/04/2017 | PEW | 23 | 15 | 17 | |
4/11/2017 | PEW | 24 | 13 | 20 | |
10/04/2015 | PEW | 28 | 23 | 15 | |
7/20/2014 | CNN | 9 | |||
2/26/2014 | PEW | 33 | 26 | 22 | |
11/15/2013 | CBS/NYT | 12 | |||
10/13/2013 | PEW | 21 | 24 | 17 | |
5/31/2013 | CBS/NYT | 15 | |||
2/06/2013 | CBS/NYT | 39 | 15 | ||
1/13/2013 | PEW | 44 | 38 | 20 | |
10/31/2012 | NES | 38 | 38 | 16 | |
10/19/2011 | CBS/NYT | 15 | 15 | 8 | |
10/04/2011 | PEW | 29 | 25 | 17 | |
9/23/2011 | CNN | 10 | |||
8/21/2011 | PEW | 28 | 35 | 15 | |
3/01/2011 | PEW | 28 | 25 | 30 | |
10/21/2010 | CBS/NYT | 40 | 15 | ||
10/01/2010 | CBS/NYT | 17 | |||
9/06/2010 | PEW | 37 | 37 | 20 | |
9/01/2010 | CNN | 21 | |||
4/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 18 | |||
3/21/2010 | PEW | 26 | 37 | 20 | |
2/12/2010 | CNN | 22 | |||
2/05/2010 | CBS/NYT | 16 | |||
1/10/2010 | GALLUP | 16 | |||
12/20/2009 | CNN | 21 | 18 | ||
8/31/2009 | CBS/NYT | 21 | |||
6/12/2009 | CBS/NYT | 16 | |||
12/21/2008 | CNN | 22 | |||
10/15/2008 | NES | 34 | 28 | 30 | |
10/13/2008 | CBS/NYT | 18 | |||
7/09/2007 | CBS/NYT | 11 | 25 | ||
1/09/2007 | PEW | 35 | 20 | 32 | |
10/08/2006 | CBS/NYT | 31 | |||
9/15/2006 | CBS/NYT | 31 | |||
2/05/2006 | PEW | 26 | 36 | ||
1/20/2006 | CBS/NYT | 19 | 34 | ||
1/06/2006 | GALLUP | 33 | |||
12/02/2005 | CBS/NYT | 35 | |||
9/11/2005 | PEW | 12 | 32 | ||
9/09/2005 | CBS/NYT | 12 | 29 | ||
6/19/2005 | GALLUP | 32 | |||
10/15/2004 | NES | 34 | 50 | ||
3/21/2004 | PEW | 17 | 41 | ||
10/26/2003 | GALLUP | 39 | |||
7/27/2003 | CBS/NYT | 19 | 37 | ||
10/15/2002 | NES | 41 | 58 | ||
9/04/2002 | GALLUP | 46 | |||
9/02/2002 | CBS/NYT | 39 | |||
7/13/2002 | CBS/NYT | 39 | |||
6/17/2002 | GALLUP | 48 | |||
1/24/2002 | CBS/NYT | 48 | |||
12/07/2001 | CBS/NYT | 51 | |||
10/25/2001 | CBS/NYT | 60 | |||
10/06/2001 | GALLUP | 61 | |||
1/17/2001 | CBS/NYT | 33 | |||
10/15/2000 | NES | 32 | 46 | ||
7/09/2000 | GALLUP | 41 | |||
4/02/2000 | ABC/POST | 28 | |||
2/14/2000 | PEW | 36 | 40 | ||
10/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 28 | |||
9/14/1999 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 39 | ||
5/16/1999 | PEW | 28 | 31 | ||
2/21/1999 | PEW | 32 | 31 | ||
2/12/1999 | ABC/POST | 32 | |||
2/04/1999 | GALLUP | 33 | |||
1/10/1999 | CBS/NYT | 37 | 35 | ||
1/03/1999 | CBS/NYT | 39 | 31 | ||
12/01/1998 | NES | 57 | 36 | 38 | |
11/19/1998 | PEW | 27 | 26 | ||
11/01/1998 | CBS/NYT | 29 | 22 | ||
10/26/1998 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 25 | ||
8/10/1998 | ABC/POST | 33 | |||
2/22/1998 | PEW | 42 | 33 | ||
2/01/1998 | GALLUP | 36 | |||
1/25/1998 | CBS/NYT | 25 | |||
10/31/1997 | PEW | 39 | 38 | ||
6/01/1997 | GALLUP | 31 | 32 | ||
1/14/1997 | CBS/NYT | 15 | 24 | ||
11/02/1996 | CBS/NYT | 31 | 30 | 24 | |
10/15/1996 | NES | 35 | 32 | ||
5/12/1996 | GALLUP | 24 | |||
5/06/1996 | ABC/POST | 34 | |||
11/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 26 | |||
8/07/1995 | GALLUP | 22 | |||
8/05/1995 | CBS/NYT | 24 | 19 | ||
3/19/1995 | ABC/POST | 27 | 21 | ||
2/22/1995 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 17 | ||
12/01/1994 | NES | 22 | 20 | ||
10/29/1994 | CBS/NYT | 16 | 22 | ||
10/23/1994 | ABC/POST | 21 | |||
6/06/1994 | GALLUP | 15 | |||
1/30/1994 | GALLUP | 17 | |||
1/20/1994 | ABC/POST | 34 | 21 | ||
3/24/1993 | GALLUP | 20 | |||
1/17/1993 | ABC/POST | 45 | 25 | ||
1/14/1993 | CBS/NYT | 22 | 24 | ||
10/23/1992 | CBS/NYT | 21 | 23 | ||
10/15/1992 | NES | 37 | 27 | 28 | |
6/08/1992 | GALLUP | 23 | |||
10/20/1991 | ABC/POST | 29 | 36 | ||
3/06/1991 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 49 | ||
3/01/1991 | ABC/POST | 35 | 46 | ||
12/01/1990 | NES | 39 | 22 | 27 | |
10/28/1990 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 25 | ||
9/06/1990 | ABC/POST | 39 | 43 | ||
1/16/1990 | ABC/POST | 35 | 38 | ||
6/29/1989 | CBS/NYT | 26 | 36 | ||
1/15/1989 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 46 | ||
11/10/1988 | CBS/NYT | 33 | 45 | ||
10/15/1988 | NES | 25 | 43 | ||
1/23/1988 | ABC/POST | 29 | 41 | ||
10/18/1987 | CBS/NYT | 32 | 41 | ||
6/01/1987 | ABC/POST | 34 | 49 | ||
3/01/1987 | CBS/NYT | 20 | 45 | ||
1/21/1987 | CBS/NYT | 27 | 46 | ||
1/19/1987 | ABC/POST | 31 | 47 | ||
12/01/1986 | NES | 21 | 42 | ||
11/30/1986 | CBS/NYT | 23 | 52 | ||
9/09/1986 | ABC/POST | 26 | 42 | ||
1/19/1986 | CBS/NYT | 22 | 45 | ||
11/06/1985 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 52 | ||
7/29/1985 | ABC/POST | 22 | 40 | ||
3/21/1985 | ABC/POST | 29 | 40 | ||
2/22/1985 | ABC/POST | 24 | 46 | ||
10/15/1984 | NES | 33 | 46 | ||
12/01/1982 | NES | 26 | 34 | ||
11/07/1980 | CBS/NYT | 30 | 40 | ||
10/15/1980 | NES | 26 | 25 | ||
3/12/1980 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 24 | ||
11/03/1979 | CBS/NYT | 36 | 29 | ||
12/01/1978 | NES | 29 | 29 | ||
10/23/1977 | CBS/NYT | 28 | 34 | ||
4/25/1977 | CBS/NYT | 34 | 35 | ||
10/15/1976 | NES | 22 | 35 | ||
6/15/1976 | CBS/NYT | 35 | 34 | ||
3/01/1976 | GALLUP | 23 | 34 | ||
12/01/1974 | NES | 19 | 38 | ||
10/15/1972 | NES | 32 | 56 | ||
12/01/1970 | NES | 40 | 55 | ||
10/15/1968 | NES | 62 | 61 | ||
12/01/1966 | NES | 65 | 65 | ||
10/15/1964 | NES | 77 | 77 | ||
12/01/1958 | NES | 62 | 74 |
Note: For full question wording, refer to the topline . White, Black and Asian American adults include those who report being one race and are not Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race. Estimates for Asian adults are representative of English speakers only.
Sources: Pew Research Center, National Election Studies, Gallup, ABC/Washington Post, CBS/New York Times, and CNN Polls. Data from 2020 and later comes from Pew Research Center’s online American Trends Panel; prior data is from telephone surveys. Details about changes in survey mode can be found in this 2020 report . Read more about the Center’s polling methodology . For analysis by party and race/ethnicity, selected datasets were obtained from searches of the iPOLL Databank provided by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research .
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Trump and biden: the national debt.
The national debt is on course to reach a record share of the economy under the next presidential administration, due in part to policies approved by Presidents Trump and Biden during their time in office, including executive actions and legislation passed by Congress.
While it is important to understand the fiscal impact of the promises candidates make on the campaign trail – particularly because they reflect the candidates’ own policy preferences and are not impacted by unexpected external events or the actions of Congress – the fact that both leading candidates have served as President also allows for a comparison of their actual fiscal records. This analysis focuses on the estimated ten-year debt impact of policies approved by Presidents Trump and Biden around the time of enactment. 1 In this analysis, we find:
In companion analyses, we will show:
Tax Cuts & Jobs Act | +$1.9 trillion | Partisan |
Bipartisan Budget Acts of 2018 & 2019 | +$2.1 trillion | Bipartisan |
ACA Tax Delays & Repeals | +$539 billion | Bipartisan |
Health Executive Actions | +$456 billion | Partisan (Executive Action) |
Other Legislation | +$310 billion | Bipartisan |
New & Increased Tariffs | -$443 billion | Partisan (Executive Action) |
CARES Act | +$1.9 trillion | Bipartisan |
Response & Relief Act | +$983 billion | Bipartisan |
Other COVID Relief | +$756 billion | Bipartisan* |
| ||
Appropriations for FY 2022 & 2023 | +$1.4 trillion | Bipartisan |
Honoring Our PACT Act | +$520 billion | Bipartisan |
Bipartisan Infrastructure Law | +$439 billion | Bipartisan |
Other Legislation | +$422 billion | Bipartisan |
Student Debt Actions | +$620 billion | Partisan (Executive Action) |
Other Executive Actions | +$548 billion | Partisan (Executive Action) |
Fiscal Responsibility Act | -$1.5 trillion | Bipartisan |
Inflation Reduction Act | -$252 billion | Partisan |
Deficit-Reducing Executive Actions | -$129 billion | Partisan (Executive Action) |
American Rescue Plan Act | +$2.1 trillion | Partisan |
|
Note: bipartisan indicates legislation passed with votes from both political parties in either chamber of Congress. *Includes $23 billion of executive actions in the form of student debt payment pauses.
During his four-year term in office, President Trump approved $8.4 trillion of new ten-year borrowing above prior law, or $4.8 trillion when excluding the bipartisan COVID relief bills and COVID-related executive actions. Looking at all legislation and executive actions with meaningful fiscal impact, the full amount of approved ten-year borrowing includes $8.8 trillion of deficit-increasing laws and actions offset by $443 billion of deficit-reducing actions. 2
These estimates are based on scores of legislation and executive actions rather than retrospective estimates. Scores are generally made on a conventional basis, though the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) is scored dynamically. The actual debt impact of the policies was likely somewhat higher than these scores. In particular, the TCJA likely reduced revenue more than projected and saved less from repealing the individual health care mandate penalty, 3 while the Employee Retention Credit was likely far more expensive than originally estimated.
Sources: CRFB estimates based on CBO and OMB projections.
The major actions approved by President Trump (and ten-year impact with interest) include:
Over his first three years and five months in office, President Biden has approved $4.3 trillion of new ten-year borrowing, or $2.2 trillion when excluding the American Rescue Plan Act. This includes $6.2 trillion of deficit-increasing legislation and actions, offset by $1.9 trillion of legislation and actions scored as reducing the deficit.
These estimates are based on scores of legislation and executive actions rather than retrospective estimates and do not include preliminary rules, unexecuted “side deals,” or actions ruled illegal by the Supreme Court. Updated scores and in-process actions would increase the total. For example, an updated estimate would likely wipe away the $252 billion of scored savings from the Inflation Reduction Act, 4 the informal FRA side deals would reduce its savings by about $500 billion , and the new student debt cancellation plan could cost $250 to $750 billion .
The major actions approved by President Biden so far (and ten-year impact with interest) include:
The next presidential term will present significant fiscal challenges. While past performance is not necessarily indicative of future actions, it is helpful to examine the fiscal performance from each President’s time in office for clues as to how they plan to confront these challenges or how high of a priority fiscal responsibility will be on their agendas.
Both candidates approved substantial amounts of new borrowing in their first term. President Trump approved $8.4 trillion in borrowing over a decade, while President Biden has approved $4.3 trillion so far in his first three years and five months in office. Of course, accountability also rests with Congress as a co-equal branch of government, which passed legislation constituting the majority of the fiscal impact under both presidents.
Some of this borrowing was clearly justified, particularly in the early parts of the COVID-19 pandemic when joblessness was rising rapidly and large parts of the economy were effectively shut down. However, funding classified as COVID relief explains less than half of the borrowing authorized by either President, and arguably, a meaningful portion of this COVID relief was either extraneous, excessive, poorly targeted, or otherwise unnecessary. 5
In supplemental analyses, we will compare a number of other aspects of the candidates’ fiscal records.
During the next presidential term, the national debt is projected to reach a record share of the economy, interest costs are slated to surge, the debt limit will re-emerge, discretionary spending caps and major tax cuts are scheduled to expire, and major trust funds will be hurtling toward insolvency.
Adding trillions more to the national debt will only worsen these challenges, just as both Presidents Trump and Biden did during their terms along with lawmakers in Congress. The country would be better served if the candidates put forward and stuck to plans to reduce the national debt, secure the trust funds, and put the budget on a sustainable long-term path.
This analysis estimates the additional borrowing approved by Presidents Trump and Biden through tax and spending changes passed by Congress or contained in executive actions from their administrations. It does not estimate the amount of debt that accumulated over their terms, which partially reflects actions taken prior to their time in office and does not account for the fiscal impact of the actions approved by the President but incurred outside of his four-year term. We will publish changes in debt during their terms in a supplemental analysis.
Our analysis incorporates all major pieces of legislation and executive actions – those with more than $10 billion of ten-year budget impact – approved by Presidents Trump and Biden. Estimates rely on ten-year budget scores, as under standard convention. In order to rely on official scores wherever possible, however, all estimates are based on the ten-year budget window at the time of enactment – meaning different policies cover different time frames and thus are not purely additive or comparable.
In general, estimates rely on official estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) presented prospectively. When such scores are not available or not comprehensive, we may use estimates from the Office of Management and Budget, the regulatory agencies, or our own estimates.
Estimates are not updated to incorporate data and results made available well after implementation; no legislation signed by either President Trump or President Biden has been re-estimated in full to incorporate observed costs or effects, and partial updates would bias the overall numbers. However, possible differences between initial scores and actual costs, including from the TCJA, the IRA, and COVID relief, are discussed throughout this paper.
Estimates incorporate impact on interest costs, which we calculate using the most recent CBO debt service tool at the time of enactment, unless interest impact is included in the estimate. Estimates are generally based on conventional scoring, but in the case of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, we incorporate macroeconomic impacts as estimated by CBO shortly after enactment.
All estimates are in nominal dollars at the time of approval, which means deficit impact from earlier budget windows generally represent a larger share of GDP per dollar due to higher price levels and output over time.
Finally, the estimates are based on the policies as written and do not try to correct for arbitrary cliffs, side agreements, or other budget gimmicks that may create a misleading picture of the intended fiscal impact of the policy.
1 Our estimates compare ten-year estimates of each action before implementation, generally using prospective scores of policies and adding them together despite being over different windows. Although this is not a perfect apples-to-apples comparison for a variety of reasons, it allows us to rely on official numbers and continue to compare over time. See the methodology section for a more detailed explanation.
2 Many pieces of legislation with fiscal impact include tax and spending changes that both add to and reduce projected deficits. The $8.8 trillion figure is based on the net deficit impact of deficit-increasing bills, rather than the gross deficit increases within those bills. For example, the $1.9 trillion impact of the TCJA represents the combination of tax cuts, base broadening, lower spending as a result of repealing the individual mandate penalty, interest, and dynamic effects on revenue and spending.
3 The larger deficit impact from the TCJA is due to a combination of a larger nominal tax base, lower health savings from individual mandate repeal, the unexpected use of a SALT cap workaround, reduced revenue collection from the limit on pass-through losses, higher revenue loss related to bonus depreciation, and other factors.
4 Due to higher prices and output, greater demand for subsidized activities, and laxer-than-expected regulations, the IRA’s energy provisions are now expected to have a fiscal impact of $660 billion – about two-thirds more than the original estimate of roughly $400 billion. This excludes the effects of the Administration’s vehicle emissions rule, which we’ve scored separately. At the same time, revenue collection under the IRA is also likely to be higher in light of higher-than-projected nominal corporate profits , greater expected voluntary tax compliance , and less-than-expected responsiveness to the buyback tax. Overall, we believe a re-estimate of the IRA would be roughly budget neutral. The emissions rule approved by President Biden would increase deficits by about $170 billion – mainly by further increasing the fiscal impact of the IRA tax credits – and is included in our tally of his executive actions.
5 In a previous analysis, we estimated that $500 to 650 billion of COVID relief was extraneous – unrelated to the pandemic or subsequent economic fallout – including $300 to $335 billion enacted under President Trump and $200 to $315 billion under President Biden. These prior estimates are not perfectly comparable to estimates in this paper but give a sense of scale. In additional analyses, we estimated that the American Rescue plan likely significantly overshot the output gap it was aiming to close while providing excessive relief to a number of sectors. There were also excesses and lack of targeting in earlier COVID relief packages, including as it related to stimulus checks , the additional $600 of weekly unemployment benefits , and the Paycheck Protection Program.
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Openai’s new “criticgpt” model is trained to criticize gpt-4 outputs, research model catches bugs in ai-generated code, improving human oversight of ai..
Benj Edwards - Jun 27, 2024 7:40 pm UTC
On Thursday, OpenAI researchers unveiled CriticGPT , a new AI model designed to identify mistakes in code generated by ChatGPT. It aims to enhance the process of making AI systems behave in ways humans want (called "alignment") through Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF), which helps human reviewers make large language model (LLM) outputs more accurate.
As outlined in a new research paper called " LLM Critics Help Catch LLM Bugs ," OpenAI created CriticGPT to act as an AI assistant to human trainers who review programming code generated by the ChatGPT AI assistant. CriticGPT—based on the GPT-4 family of LLMS—analyzes the code and points out potential errors, making it easier for humans to spot mistakes that might otherwise go unnoticed. The researchers trained CriticGPT on a dataset of code samples with intentionally inserted bugs, teaching it to recognize and flag various coding errors.
The researchers found that CriticGPT's critiques were preferred by annotators over human critiques in 63 percent of cases involving naturally occurring LLM errors and that human-machine teams using CriticGPT wrote more comprehensive critiques than humans alone while reducing confabulation (hallucination) rates compared to AI-only critiques.
The development of CriticGPT involved training the model on a large number of inputs containing deliberately inserted mistakes. Human trainers were asked to modify code written by ChatGPT, introducing errors and then providing example feedback as if they had discovered these bugs. This process allowed the model to learn how to identify and critique various types of coding errors.
In experiments, CriticGPT demonstrated its ability to catch both inserted bugs and naturally occurring errors in ChatGPT's output. The new model's critiques were preferred by trainers over those generated by ChatGPT itself in 63 percent of cases involving natural bugs (the aforementioned statistic). This preference was partly due to CriticGPT producing fewer unhelpful "nitpicks" and generating fewer false positives, or hallucinated problems.
The researchers also created a new technique they call Force Sampling Beam Search (FSBS). This method helps CriticGPT write more detailed reviews of code. It lets the researchers adjust how thorough CriticGPT is in looking for problems while also controlling how often it might make up issues that don't really exist. They can tweak this balance depending on what they need for different AI training tasks.
Interestingly, the researchers found that CriticGPT's capabilities extend beyond just code review. In their experiments, they applied the model to a subset of ChatGPT training data that had previously been rated as flawless by human annotators. Surprisingly, CriticGPT identified errors in 24 percent of these cases—errors that were subsequently confirmed by human reviewers. OpenAI thinks this demonstrates the model's potential to generalize to non-code tasks and highlights its ability to catch subtle mistakes that even careful human evaluation might miss.
Despite its promising results, like all AI models, CriticGPT has limitations. The model was trained on relatively short ChatGPT answers, which may not fully prepare it for evaluating longer, more complex tasks that future AI systems might tackle. Additionally, while CriticGPT reduces confabulations , it doesn't eliminate them entirely, and human trainers can still make labeling mistakes based on these false outputs.
The research team acknowledges that CriticGPT is most effective at identifying errors that can be pinpointed in one specific location within the code. However, real-world mistakes in AI outputs can often be spread across multiple parts of an answer, presenting a challenge for future model iterations.
OpenAI plans to integrate CriticGPT-like models into its RLHF labeling pipeline, providing its trainers with AI assistance. For OpenAI, it's a step toward developing better tools for evaluating outputs from LLM systems that may be difficult for humans to rate without additional support. However, the researchers caution that even with tools like CriticGPT, extremely complex tasks or responses may still prove challenging for human evaluators—even those assisted by AI.
Channel ars technica.
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