(0.0000)
Note: TS indicates the trace statistic, * signifies rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level.
Table 4 reports the estimated results of long-term effect of climate variables and other control variables on wheat yield in Hebei, Henan, and Shandong Provinces, respectively.
Results of FMOLS estimator for top three provinces in northern China.
Variables | Hebei Province | Henan Province | Shandong Province | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient | Prob. | Coefficient | Prob. | Coefficient | Prob. | |
LTEMP | 1.1600 *** | 0.0000 | −0.5129 * | 0.0929 | −0.0701 | 0.7446 |
LRF | 0.0136 | 0.8277 | −0.0576 | 0.1387 | 0.0823 * | 0.0522 |
LFER | 0.1726 | 0.5623 | −0.6117 ** | 0.0325 | 0.2917 * | 0.0695 |
LPC | −0.3626 *** | 0.0009 | 0.4885 *** | 0.0037 | −0.1421 * | 0.0980 |
LWA | 0.5805 *** | 0.0019 | 2.9805 *** | 0.0000 | 1.1690 *** | 0.0000 |
LLF | 1.3669 *** | 0.0000 | 0.2161 | 0.1962 | 0.2351 | 0.7447 |
C | −3.9019 *** | 0.0001 | −7.8904 *** | 0.0000 | −2.1196 | 0.3335 |
R | 0.8061 | 0.9722 | 0.9332 | |||
Adj-R | 0.7415 | 0.9630 | 0.9058 |
In the case of Hebei Province, the climate variables (i.e., temperature and rainfall) have a positive, significant impact on wheat production. This means the climate conditions are more favorable for wheat cultivation in Hebei Province. Specific to the North China Plain, where this study area is located, some research evidence shows that in the north of this plain, the impact of rainfall on wheat production is positive, while in the south of this plain, the impact of rainfall turns negative [ 49 ]. Similarly, for temperature, the increase in temperature increases the winter wheat yield in the northern part of the North China Plain but decreases the wheat yield produced in winter in the south of the North China Plain [ 50 ]. The top three wheat-producing provinces are selected for this investigation. Hebei, Shandong, and Henan Provinces are distributed in the North China Plain. The three provinces’ yearly mean temperature and yearly mean precipitation are ranked from low to high in Hebei, Shandong, and Henan (see Figure 2 ). The temperature and rainfall in Hebei Province are low, and the impacts of temperature and precipitation on wheat yield are positive.
Further results reveal that fertilizer use, cultivated area, and labor force also have a positive, significant influence on wheat production. The long-run coefficients of fertilizer use, cultivated area, and labor force indicate that a 1% increase in fertilizer treatment use, cultivated area, and labor force wheat production improved by 0.17%, 0.58%, and 1.36%, respectively.
In the case of Henan Province, the climatic factors (i.e., temperature and rainfall) and wheat production relationship was significant and negative. This means that climatic factors severely impact wheat production in Henan Province. The long-run coefficient of both climate variables, temperature and rainfall, indicates that with a 1% increase in both climate variables (i.e., temperature and rainfall), wheat production decreases by 0.51%, and 0.05%. Geng et al. [ 51 ] reported that high temperatures will be detrimental to wheat production by shortening the growth cycle of the wheat crop. Further, Song et al. [ 33 ] stated that excessive rainfall causes excessive water accumulation, which will aggravate the wet damage of wheat and negatively affect wheat production.
Moreover, the results show that fertilizer usage also significantly negatively impacts wheat production. The long-term coefficient of fertilizer usage reveals that if a farmer overuses the fertilizer by 1%, wheat production declines by 0.61%. Fertilization can not only supplement the nutrients needed by wheat but also improve the utilization rate of water, thus increasing the yield of wheat [ 52 , 53 ]. However, unreasonable and excessive use of chemical fertilizers will cause soil degradation and adversely affect wheat yield. This shows that the rational use of chemical fertilizers is very important for wheat production, and Henan Province should pay more attention to improving chemical fertilizer use efficiency.
In contrast, these variables (power usage, wheat farming area, and labor force) and the wheat production relationship were significant and positive. The long-run coefficient of power usage, wheat farming area, and labor force reveals that a 1% increase in power usage, wheat farming area, and labor force increases wheat production by 0.48%, 2.98%, and 0.21%, respectively.
In the case of Shandong Province, the climate variables, temperature, and wheat production displayed a diverse relationship. At the same time, rainfall had a significant and positive influence, suggesting that with a 1% increase in temperature and rainfall, wheat production decreased by 0.07% and improved by 0.08%. The heterogeneous effect of the climate variables on regional wheat yield is verified by some existing studies. For example, the evidence from Mexico and China verified that the sensitivity of wheat yield to climate variables is uneven in space [ 54 , 55 ]. Tao et al. [ 56 ] studied climate change’s influence on wheat productivity and found the prospective consequences of climate change on winter wheat output in northern China under 10 climatic scenarios and concluded that environmental variability might enhance wheat yield by 37.7% (18.6%), 67.8% (23.1%), and 87.2% (34.4%), with (without) CO 2 fertilization effects in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s, respectively, in the future. The temperature and rainfall in Shandong Province are in the middle of the three provinces, and the impact of temperature on wheat yield is negative, but the impact of rainfall is positive. In Henan Province, it is observed that the temperature is higher, and the rainfall is higher; the influence of temperature and rainfall on wheat is negative. Moreover, the results show that these variables (fertilizer use, cultivated area, and labor force) and wheat production association was significant and positive, suggesting that a 1% increase in fertilizer usage, cultivated area, and labor force enhanced wheat production by 0.29%, 1.16%, and 0.23%, respectively.
This study applied the DOLS and CCR long-run estimators as a robust check approach for the FMOLS findings. Table 5 shows that climate variables positively affect wheat production in the context of Hebei Province. The estimated coefficients of DOLS and CCR are consistent with the findings of the FMOLS model. Likewise, in Henan Province’s case, climatic factors negatively influence wheat production. These outcomes are also consistent with the outcomes of the FMOLS model. In addition, climatic factors, such as temperature, only have a negative impact on wheat production. Meanwhile, rainfall has a significant and positive linkage with wheat production. Hence, the results of both techniques, such as DOLS and CCR, are similar to the results of the FMOLS method.
Robustness check.
Hebei Province | Henan Province | Shandong Province | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DOLS | CCR | DOLS | CCR | DOLS | CCR | |
Variables | Coefficient | Coefficient | Coefficient | Coefficient | Coefficient | Coefficient |
LTEMP | 1.3956 *** (0.0003) | 1.3629 *** (0.0000) | −0.2405 (0.4173) | −0.6182 (0.1652) | −0.1411 (0.7269) | −0.0961 (0.4601) |
LRF | 0.0837 (0.4661) | 0.0293 (0.6728) | −0.0107 (0.8369) | −0.0187 (0.7913) | 0.4315 * (0.0791) | 0.1276 *** (0.0054) |
LFER | 0.2372 (0.5224) | 0.1416 (0.5718) | −0.5957 * (0.0900) | −0.7901 ** (0.0292) | 0.1267 (0.7971) | 0.3789 *** (0.0033) |
LPC | −0.2898 ** (0.0213) | −0.3205 *** (0.0002) | 0.1385 (0.4038) | 0.5703 *** (0.0023) | 0.0943 (0.7438) | −0.1125 * (0.0580) |
LWA | 0.5525 *** (0.0038) | 0.5663 *** (0.0000) | 2.2683 ** (0.0167) | 3.1978 *** (0.0000) | 1.6290 ** (0.0153) | 1.4074 *** (0.0000) |
LLF | 1.0557 *** (0.0081) | 1.2416 *** (0.0000) | −0.2059 (0.4506) | 0.2741 (0.1504) | −0.4386 (0.7924) | −0.8140 * (0.0798) |
C | −3.6129 *** (0.0016) | −3.7710 *** (0.0000) | −2.9953 (0.3278) | −8.7276 *** (0.0000) | −2.6588 (0.5218) | 0.3107 (0.8046) |
R | 0.9402 | 0.7980 | 0.9922 | 0.9662 | 0.9881 | 0.9251 |
Adj-R | 0.8805 | 0.7307 | 0.9814 | 0.9549 | 0.9454 | 0.8943 |
Although the long-run impact of the variables concerned was explored through the FMOLS, DOLS, and CCR estimators, the causal connection between the underlying variables is still in question. Therefore, we further apply the Granger causality method. The findings for Hebei, Henan, and Shandong Provinces are presented in Table 6 . A bidirectional causality between precipitation and fertilizer usage with wheat production in the context of Hebei Province can be observed. This means that rainfall and fertilizer usage significantly contributed to Hebei Province’s wheat production.
Granger causality test outcomes for Hebei, Henan, and Shandong Provinces.
Null Hypothesis: | Hebei Province | Henan Province | Shandong Province | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
F-Statistic | Prob. | F-Statistic | Prob. | F-Statistic | Prob. | |
LTEMP LWP | 0.32014 | 0.7299 | 0.48642 | 0.4928 | 6.9 × 10 | 0.9934 |
LOGWP LTEMP | 3.85467 ** | 0.0393 | 7.70193 ** | 0.0110 | 6.21589 ** | 0.0207 |
LRF LOGWP | 14.5460 *** | 0.0001 | 11.2664 *** | 0.0029 | 12.7836 *** | 0.0017 |
LWP LRF | 5.86390 ** | 0.0104 | 2.30976 | 0.1428 | 1.31051 | 0.2646 |
LFER LWP | 14.0077 *** | 0.0002 | 5.55914 ** | 0.0277 | 1.38081 | 0.2525 |
LWP LFER | 11.1690 *** | 0.0006 | 1.33921 | 0.2596 | 14.7157 *** | 0.0009 |
LPC LWP | 0.34197 | 0.7147 | 0.68055 | 0.4183 | 2.40316 | 0.1354 |
LWP LPC | 1.18261 | 0.3280 | 0.09899 | 0.7560 | 0.30692 | 0.5852 |
LWA LWP | 2.59154 | 0.1011 | 3.89070 * | 0.0613 | 7.44369 ** | 0.0123 |
LOGWP LWA | 1.66343 | 0.2159 | 4.21314 * | 0.0522 | 11.3607 *** | 0.0028 |
LLF LWP | 1.83122 | 0.1874 | 0.00149 | 0.9695 | 4.15717 * | 0.0537 |
LWP LLF | 0.25914 | 0.7744 | 2.30602 | 0.1431 | 0.15467 | 0.6979 |
Note: ⇏ indicates “does not cause Granger”, *** p value < 0.01, ** p value < 0.05, and * p value < 0.1.
Further, the results only discover a unidirectional causality association between wheat production and temperature. In the context of Henan Province, it is revealed that a unidirectional causality association runs from precipitation and fertilizer usage to wheat production. In contrast, a bidirectional causality exists between power consumption and wheat production. This depicts that climate change factors, such as rainfall, and other inputs also positively influence wheat production. In addition, a bidirectional causality is established between the farming area and wheat production, while a unidirectional causality is detected from precipitation and labor to wheat production. These results imply that the cultivated area, rainfall, and labor significantly improve wheat production in the context of Shandong Province.
The current study assesses the climate variables’ long-run impact on wheat production in China’s top three wheat-producing provinces. The other important factors considered in this paper include fertilizer usage, cultivated area, power consumption, and labor. The data set consists of observations from 1992 to 2020 on which several time-series techniques, namely, the DOLS, FMOLS, CCR, and Granger causality, were applied. Based on the estimations, the findings revealed that wheat production is negatively affected by climate change in Henan Province. In contrast, climate change is more favorable for wheat production in Hebei Province.
On the other hand, temperature negatively influenced wheat production but was not significant, while rainfall significantly contributed positively to wheat production in Shandong Province. Further findings showed that fertilizer usage, cultivated area, and labor positively and significantly improved wheat production in Hebei and Shandong Provinces. In contrast, power usage, wheat farming area, and labor force significantly and positively enhanced wheat production in Henan Province. In addition, the findings of the Granger causality test reported a bidirectional causality between rainfall and fertilizer use with wheat production in Hebei Province, while a unidirectional causality connection was revealed between wheat production and temperature. In the context of Henan Province, it was discovered that a unidirectional causality link was observed from rainfall and fertilizer use to wheat production. In contrast, a bidirectional causality existed between power consumption and wheat production. Moreover, a bidirectional causality was established between the cultivated area and wheat production, while a unidirectional causality was detected from the rainfall and labor to wheat production in Shandong Province.
Based on the estimated outcomes, the current paper offers several policy implications:
With both advantages and disadvantages, China’s wheat production is affected by global warming. To mitigate the effects of a changing climate on China’s wheat yield, it is vital to increase the adaptability of wheat production. First, modify wheat’s sowing date and area in a reasonable manner. Adjust the sowing date of crops, rationally plan the planting areas, fully utilize the additional heat resources brought about by climate change, decrease the impact of meteorological disasters, and increase the stability of wheat production based on the climatic conditions of various regions.
Second, agricultural technology advancement will continue to be important in ensuring wheat yield stability. On the one hand, the Chinese government must prioritize research and develop seed resources resistant to extreme weather conditions. It is crucial to develop and store wheat germplasm resources that can respond to adverse weather conditions, given the prevalence of extreme weather events (high-temperature resistance, waterlogging resistance, low-temperature resistance, etc.). On the other hand, it is essential to continue using advanced agricultural technologies to produce wheat. For instance, more fertilizer use techniques should be implemented to increase the input effectiveness of chemical fertilizers and ensure the sustainability of agricultural production.
Furthermore, there are regional differences in wheat planting varieties and methods in China, making it difficult to continuously improve wheat production levels by relying solely on a single technology. As a result, it is necessary to promote improved varieties in conjunction with good methods, agricultural machinery, and agronomy, as well as to further tap the potential of science and technology to increase production.
This research was funded by the National Social Science Fund of China (Grant number: 19CSH029).
Conceptualization, A.A.C. and H.Z.; methodology, A.A.C.; software, A.A.C. and Y.T.; validation, G.R.S.; formal analysis, A.A.C. and Y.T.; investigation, A.A.C. and Y.T.; resources, H.Z.; data curation, Y.T.; writing—original draft preparation, A.A.C. and Y.T.; writing—review and editing, M.A.T. and G.R.S.; visualization, H.Z.; supervision, A.A.C.; project administration, H.Z.; funding acquisition, H.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Not applicable.
Data availability statement, conflicts of interest.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Demand for wheat by 2050 is predicted to increase by 50 percent from today’s levels. Meanwhile, the crop is at risk from new and more aggressive pests and diseases, diminishing water resources, limited available land and unstable weather conditions—heat in particular.
Through this program, CIMMYT works with more than 200 research and breeding institutions, including the International Center for Agriculture Research in the Dry Areas ( ICARDA ), sharing elite breeding lines and associated data through its system of international nurseries.
The Wheat Molecular Breeding laboratory develops tools and information for breeders around the world. The Wheat Quality laboratory ensures that CIMMYT varieties meet market demands for flour and bread quality.
CIMMYT’s wheat research aims to
CIMMYT led the CGIAR Research Program on Wheat ( WHEAT ) from January 2012 through December 2021.
To order seeds, please click here .
Dryland Crops Program Director (DCP) and Wheat Program Director a.i. (GWP)
Program Manager, Wheat
More stories
Cimmyt scientist recognized with research leader award, wheat cultivation in africa at risk of..., building global capacity to combat wheat blast, new heat-tolerant wheat varieties prove fruitful for..., re-imagining heat tolerance traits in wheat –..., wheat projects, protected: csp2301-008rtx: acrcp phase 5: optimising genetic..., protected: gruma’s sustainability plan: promoting sustainable agrifood..., protected: training program for chinese young scientists..., protected: china 2023 contribution (to be applied..., protected: fusarium head blight (fhb) of wheat, protected: bni- wheat future: towards reducing global..., wheat disease early warning advisory system (dewas), institutionalizing monitoring of crop variety adoption using..., nitrogen-efficient wheat production systems in the indo-gangetic..., rapid point-of-care diagnostics for wheat rusts (marple), managing wheat blast in bangladesh, adaptation, demonstration and piloting of wheat technologies....
Advertisement
4265 Accesses
218 Citations
3 Altmetric
Explore all metrics
India is the second largest producer of wheat in the world, with production hovering around 68–75 million tons for past few years. The latest estimated demand for wheat production for the year 2020 is approximately 87.5 million tons, or about 13 million tons more than the record production of 75 million tons harvested in crop season 1999–2000. Since 2000, India has struggled to match that record production figure and thus faces a critical challenge in maintaining food security in the face of its growing population. The current major challenges facing future wheat production in India are increasing heat stress; dwindling water supplies for irrigation; a growing threat of new virulence of diseases such as wheat rusts (yellow, brown, and black) and leaf blight; continuous adoption of rice-wheat systems on around 11 million hectares; changes in urbanization patterns, and demand for better quality wheat. In addition, the threat posed by the new stem rust race Ug99 can not be underestimated. The wide gap (around 2.5 t/ha) between the potential and harvested yield in the eastern Gangetic Plains also cries out for solutions. Addressing issues related to different stresses will require harnessing genes discovered in landraces and wild relatives following conventional as well as non-conventional approaches. For effective technology delivery in areas that suffer from poor linkages with farmers, participatory research needs to be strengthened. The future germplasm requirements from a dependable collaborator such as CIMMYT are largely being dictated by the above factors.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Price includes VAT (Russian Federation)
Instant access to the full article PDF.
Rent this article via DeepDyve
Institutional subscriptions
Abbreviations.
Eastern Gangetic Plains
Eastern Gangetic Plains Yield Trial
Eastern Gangetic Plains Screening Nursery
Anonymous (2003) Salient features of Lok1. www.lokbharti.org. Verified 27 January, 2007
Anonymous (2007) CIMMYT. 2007. Dangerous wheat disease jumps red sea. Mexico, DF: CIMMYT. Available on-line at: http://www.globalrust.org (verified 27/1/07)
Araus JL, Reynolds MP, Acevedo E (1993) Leaf posture, grain yield, growth, leaf structure and carbon isotope discrimination in wheat. Crop Sci 33:1273–1279
Article Google Scholar
Arun B, Joshi AK, Chand R, Singh D (2003) Wheat somaclonal variants showing, earliness, improved spot blotch resistance and higher yield. Euphytica 132:235–241
Bhalla GS, Hazell P, Kerr J (1999) Prospects for India’s cereal supply and demand to 2020. International Food Policy Research Institute, USA
Google Scholar
Chatrath R (2004) Breeding strategies for developing wheat varieties targeted for rice-wheat cropping system of Indo-Gangetic Plains of Eastern India. In: Joshi AK, Chand R, Arun B, Singh G (eds) A compendium of the training program (26–30 December, 2003) on wheat improvement in eastern and warmer regions of India: conventional and non-conventional approaches. NATP project, (ICAR), BHU, Varanasi, India
Chatrath R, Mishra B, Shoran J (2006a) Yield potential survey–India. In: Reynolds MP, Godinez D (eds) Extended abstracts of the international symposium on wheat yield potential “Challenges to International Wheat Breeding”, March 20–24, 2006, Cd. Obregon, Mexico. CIMMYT, Mexico, D.F., p 53
Chatrath R, Mishra B, Joshi AK, Ortiz-Ferrara G (2006b) Challenges to wheat production in South Asia. In: Reynolds MP, Godinez D (eds) Extended abstracts of the international symposium on wheat yield potential “Challenges to International Wheat Breeding”, March 20–24, 2006, Cd. Obregon, Mexico. CIMMYT, Mexico, D.F., p 6
Directorate of Wheat Research (2006) Project Director’s Report: 2005–2006. B Mishra, Project Director, Directorate of Wheat Research, Karnal 132001, pp 29
Evenson RE, Pray CE, Rosegrant MV (1999) Agricultural research and productivity growth in India. IFPRI, Washington, DC
FAO (2004) Statistical database. www.fao.org. Verified 4 January, 2007
Fischer RA (1985) Number of kernels in wheat crops and the influence of solar radiation and temperature. J Agric Sci (Camb) 105:447–461
Fischer RA, Byerlee DB (1991) Trends of wheat production in the warmer areas: major issues and economic considerations. In: Wheat for the Non-traditional Warm Areas. Proc. of Conf., Iguazu, Brazil, 29 Jul.–3 Aug. 1990. CIMMYT, Mexico, DF. pp 3–27
Fischer RA (1996) Wheat physiology at CIMMYT and raising the yield plateau. In: Reynolds MP, Rajaram S, McNab A (eds) Increasing yield potential in wheat: breaking the barriers. Proc. Workshop, Cd. Obregon, Mexico, 28–30 March 1996. CIMMYT, Mexico, DF, pp 150–166
Fischer RA, Rees D, Sayre KD, Lu Z-M, Condon AG, Larqué-Saavedra A (1998) Wheat yield progress is associated with higher stomatal conductance and photosynthetic rate, and cooler canopies. Crop Sci. 38:1467–1475
Government of India (1996) Population projections for India and states 1996–2016, Report of Technical Group on Population Projections. New Delhi, Registrar General
Gupta RK (2004) Quality of Indian wheat and infrastructure for analysis. In: Joshi AK, Chand R, Arun B, Singh G (eds) A compendium of the training program (26–30 December, 2003) on wheat improvement in eastern and warmer regions of India: Conventional and non-conventional approaches. NATP project, (ICAR), BHU, Varanasi, India
Harrington LW, Fujisaka S, Morris ML, Hobbs PR, Sharma HC, Singh RP, Chaudhary MK, Dhiman SD (1993) Wheat and Rice in Karnal and Kurukshetra Districts, Haryana, India: Farmers’ Practices, Problems and an Agenda for Action. Mexico, DF: Haryana Agricultural University (HAU), Indian Council for Agricultural Research (ICAR), CIMMYT, and the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI)
Hobbs PR (2001) Tillage and crop establishment in South Asian rice-wheat systems: present and future options. In: Kataki PK (ed) The Rice-Wheat Cropping System of South Asia: Efficient Production Management. J Crop Prod 4:1–23
Hobbs P, Morris M (1996) Meeting South Asia’s Future Food Requirements from Rice-Wheat Cropping Systems: Priority Issues Facing Researchers in the Post-Green Revolution Era. NRG paper 96–01. Mexico, DF: CIMMYT. pp 46
Howard A (1924) Crop production in India: a critical survey of its problems. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, p 156
Innes P, Blackwell RD (1983) Some effects of leaf posture on the yield and water economy of winter wheat. J Agric Sci (Camb) 101:367–376
Johnson R (1988) Durable resistance to yellow (stripe) rust in wheat and its implications in plant breeding. In: Simmonds NW, Rajaram S (eds) Breeeding strategies for resistance to the rusts of wheat. CIMMYT, Mexico, DF, pp 63–75
Joshi AK, Chand R (2002) Variation and inheritance of leaf angle, and its association with spot blotch ( Bipolaris sorokiniana ) severity in wheat ( Triticum aestivum ). Euphytica 124:283–291
Joshi AK, Chand R, Arun B (2002) Relationship of plant height and days to maturity with resistance to spot blotch in wheat. Euphytica 123:221–228
Joshi AK, Chand R, Chandola VK (2003) 1st Annual Report of CIMMYT collaborated, DFID funded project, Participatory Research to Increase the Productivity and Sustainability of Wheat Cropping Systems in the Eastern Subcontinent of South Asia. CIMMYT, BHU, Varanasi, India
Joshi AK, Chand R, Kumar S, Singh RP (2004a) Leaf tip necrosis: a phenotypic marker associated with resistance to spot blotch disease in wheat. Crop Sci 44:792–796
Joshi AK, Kumar S, Chand R, Ortiz-Ferrara G (2004b) Inheritance of resistance to spot blotch caused by Bipolaris sorokiniana in spring wheat. Plant Breed 123:213–219
Joshi AK, Chand R, Chandola VK, Prasad LC, Arun B, Tripathi R, Ortiz Ferrara G (2005) Approaches to Germplasm Dissemination and Adoption - Reaching Farmers in the Eastern Gangetic Plains. Proceedings of 7th International Wheat Symposium, Nov 27–Dec 2, 2005, Mar del Plata, Argentina
Joshi AK, Chand R, Arun B, Singh RP, Ortiz R (2007a) Breeding crops for reduced-tillage management in the intensive, rice-wheat systems of South Asia. Euphytica 153:135–151
Joshi AK, Kumari M, Singh VP, Reddy CM, Kumar S, Rane J, Chand R (2007b) Stay green trait: variation, inheritance and its association with spot blotch resistance in spring wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.). Euphytica 153:59–71
Joshi AK, Ortiz-Ferrara G, Crossa J, Singh G, Alvarado G, Bhatta MR, Duveiller E, Sharma RC, Pandit DB, Siddique AB, Das SY, Sharma RN, Chand R (2007c) Associations of environments in South Asia based on spot blotch disease of wheat caused by Cochliobolus sativus . Crop Sci (In press)
Kulshrestha VP, Jain HK (1982) Eighty years of wheat breeding in India: Past selection pressures and future prospects. Z Pflanzenzuchtg 89:19–30
Kronstad WE, McCuistion WL, Swearingen ML, Qualset CO (1978) Crop selection for specific residue management systems. In: Oschwald WR (ed) Crop residue management systems. American Society of Agronomy, Madison, WI, pp 207–217 Spec Pub 31
Lal R, Hansen DO, Hobbs P, Uphoff N (2004) Reconciling food security with environment quality through no-till farming. In: Lal R, Hobbs P, Uphoff N, Hansen DO (eds) Sustainable agriculture and the rice-wheat system. Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York, pp 495–512
Ladha JK, Fischer KS, Hossain M, Hobbs PR, Hardy B (2000) Improving the productivity of rice-wheat systems of Indo-Gangetic Plains: A synthesis of NARS-IRRI partnership research. IRRI Discussion Paper No. 40. Los Banos, Philippines: IRRI
McIntosh RA, Devos KM, Dubcovsky J, Rogers WJ, Morris CF, Apples R, Anderson OD (2005) Catalogue of gene symbols for wheat: 2005 supplement. http://www.shigen.nig.ac.jp/wheat/komugi/genes/macgene/supplement2005
Nagarajan S (2005) Can India produce enough wheat even by 2020. Curr Sci 89:1467–1471
Ortiz-Ferrara G, Bhatta MR, Pokharel T, Mudwari A, Thapa DB, Joshi AK, Chand R, Muhammad D, Duveiller E, Rajaram S (2001) Farmers’ participatory variety selection in South Asia. Research Highlights of the CIMMYT Wheat Program, 1999–2000. CIMMYT, Mexico D.F., pp 33–37
Pandey SP, Kumar S, Kumar U, Chand R, Joshi AK (2005) Sources of inoculum and reappearance of spot blotch of wheat in rice-wheat cropping system in eastern India. Eur J Plant Pathol 111:47–55
Peña RJ, Trethowan R, Pfeiffer WH, van Ginkel M (2002) Quality (End-Use) Improvement in wheat: Compositional, Genetic and Environmental Factors. In: Basra AS, Randhawa LS (eds) Quality improvement in field crops. The Howarth Press, New York, pp 1–38
Pretorius ZA, Singh RP, Wagoire WW, Payne TS (2000) Detection of virulence to wheat stem rust resistance gene Sr31 in Puccinia graminis f. sp. tritici in Uganda. Plant Dis 84:203
Rajaram S (2001) Prospects and promise of wheat breeding in the 21st century. Euphytica 119:3–15
Rane J, Shoran J, Nagarajan S (2000) Heat stress environments and impact on wheat productivity in India: Guestimate of losses. Indian Wheat News Lett 6(1):5–6
Reynolds MP, Acevedo E, Sayre KD, Fischer RA (1994) Yield potential in modern wheat varieties: its association with a less competitive ideotype. Field Crops Res 37:149–160
Reynolds MP, Rajaram S, Sayre KD (1999) Physiological and genetic changes of irrigated wheat in the post-Green Revolution period and approaches for meeting projected global demand. Crop Sci 39:1611–1621
Reynolds MP, van Ginkel M, Ribaut J-M (2000) Avenues for genetic modification of radiation use efficiency in wheat. J Exp Bot 51:459–473
Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
Reynolds MP, Calderini DF, Condon AG, Rajaram S (2001) Physiological basis of yield gains in wheat associated with the Lr19 translocation from Agropyron elongatum . In: Bedo Z, Lang L (eds) Wheat in a global environment. Kluwer Academic Publishers, the Netherlands, pp 345–351
Reynolds MP, Trethowan R, Crossa J, Vargas M, Sayre KD (2004) Erratum to “Physiological factors associated with genotype by environment interaction in wheat”. Field Crops Res 85:253–274
Reynolds MP, Borlaug NE (2006) Applying innovations and new technologies for international collaborative wheat improvement. J Agric Sci 144:99–110
Richards RA, Rebetzke GJ, Condon AG, Mickelson BJ (1996) Targeting traits to increase the grain yield of wheat. In: Richards RA, Wrigley CW, Rawson HM, Rebetzke GJ, Davidson JL, Brettell RIS (eds) Proc. 8th assembly, wheat breeding society of Australia. Wheat Breeding Society of Australia, Sydney, Australia, pp 054–057
Saari EE (1998) Leaf blight disease and associated soil-borne fungal pathogens of wheat in south and southeast Asia. In Duvellier E, Dubin HJ, Reeves J, McNab A (eds) Helminthosporium blights of wheat: spot blotch and tan spot. CIMMYT, Mexico, DF, pp 37–51
Sharma SN, Bhatnagar VK, Mann MS, Shekhawat US, Sain RS (2002) Maximization of wheat yields with a unique variety in warmer areas. Wheat Inform Ser 95:11–16
Singh RP, Huerta-Espino J, Rajaram S, Crossa J (1998a) Agronomic effects from chromosome translocations 7DL.7Ag and 1BL.1RS in spring wheat. Crop Sci 38:27–33
Singh RP, Rajaram S, Miranda A, Huerto-Espino J, Autroque E (1998b) Comparison of two crossing and four selection schemes for yield, yield traits, and slow rusting resistance to leaf rust in wheat. Euphytica 100:25–43
Singh RP, Huerta-Espino J, William M (2004) Genetics and breeding for durable resistance to leaf and stripe rusts in wheat. In: Joshi AK, Chand R, Arun B, Singh G (eds) A compendium of training program (26–30 December, 2003) on wheat improvement in eastern and warmer regions of India: conventional and non-conventional approaches. NATP project (ICAR), BHU, Varanasi, India
Singh RP, Huerta-Espino J, William HM (2005) Genetics and breeding for durable resistance to leaf and stripe rusts in wheat. Turkish J Agric Forestry 29:121–27
CAS Google Scholar
Singh RP, Hodson DP, Jin Y, Huerta-Espino J, Kinyua MG, Wanyera R, Njau P, Ward RW (2006) Current status, likely migration and strategies to mitigate the threat to wheat production from race Ug99 (TTKS) of stem rust pathogen. CAB Reviews: Perspectives in Agriculture, Veterinary Science, Nutrition and Natural Resources 1, No. 054: 1–13 ( http://www.cababstractsplus.org/cabreviews )
Singh RP, Huerta-Espino J, Sharma R, Joshi AK, Trethowan R (2007) High Yielding Spring Bread Wheat Germplasm for Global Irrigated and Rainfed Production Systems. Euphytica (In this issue)
Stone PJ, Nicolas ME (1995) Effect of timing of heat stress during grain filling on two wheat varieties differing in heat tolerance. I. Grain growth. Aust J Plant Physiol 22: 927–934
Tandon JP (1994) Wheat cultivation, research organization and production technology in the hot dry regions of India. In: Saunders DA, Hettel GP (eds) Wheat in heat-stressed environments: irrigated, dry areas and rice-wheat farming systems. CIMMYT, Mexico, DF, pp 17–23
Trethowan RM, Singh RP, Huerta-Espino J, Crossa J, van Ginkel M (2001) Coleoptile length variation of near-isogenic Rht lines of modern CIMMYT bread and durum wheats. Field Crops Res 70:167–176
Trethowan RM, Borja J, Kazi-Mujeeb (2003) The impact of synthetic wheat on breeding for stress tolearance at CIMMYT. Ann Wheat News Lett 49:67–69
Trethowan RM, Reynolds M (2005) Drought resistance: genetic approaches for improving productivity under stress. In: Proc 7 th Intl. Wheat Conf, 27 Nov-2 Dec 2005, Mar del Plata, Argentina
Trethowan RM, Reynolds MP, Sayre KD, Ortiz-Monasterio I (2005) Adapting wheat cultivars to resource conserving farming practices and human nutritional needs. Ann Appl Biol 146: 404–413
United Nations (1995) World urbanization prospects, the 1994 revision. United Nations, New York
Villareal RL, Banuelos O, Borja J, Mujeeb-Kazi A (1998) Drought tolerance of synthetic wheats ( Triticum turgidum x Aegilops tauschii ). Ann Wheat Newslett 44:142–144
Wardlaw IF (1994) The effect of high temperature on kernel development in wheat: Variability related to pre-heading post-anthesis conditions. Aust J Plant Physiol 21:731–739
Witcombe JR, Joshi A, Goyal SN (2003) Participatory plant breeding in maize: A case study from Gujarat, India. Euphytica 130:413–22
Witcombe JR, Joshi KD, Rana RB, Virk DS (2001) Increasing genetic diversity by participatory varietal selection in high potential production systems in Nepal and India. Euphytica 122:575–88
Zadoks JC, Chang TT, Konzak CF (1974) A decimal code for the growth stages of cereals. Weeds Res 14:415–421
Download references
Authors and affiliations.
Department of Genetics and Plant Breeding, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 221005, India
A. K. Joshi
Directorate of Wheat Research, Indian Council of Agricultural Research, Karnal, 132 001, Haryana, India
B. Mishra & R. Chatrath
CIMMYT South Asia Office, Kathmandu, Nepal
G. Ortiz Ferrara
Centro Internacional de Mejoramiento de Maíz y Trigo (CIMMYT), Apdo. Postal 6-641, C.P. 06600, Mexico, DF, Mexico
Ravi P. Singh
You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar
Correspondence to A. K. Joshi .
Reprints and permissions
Joshi, A.K., Mishra, B., Chatrath, R. et al. Wheat improvement in India: present status, emerging challenges and future prospects. Euphytica 157 , 431–446 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10681-007-9385-7
Download citation
Received : 12 September 2006
Accepted : 20 February 2007
Published : 04 April 2007
Issue Date : October 2007
DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s10681-007-9385-7
Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:
Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.
Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative
IMAGES
VIDEO
COMMENTS
Adamski, N. M. et al. A roadmap for gene functional characterisation in crops with large genomes: lessons from polyploid wheat. eLife 9, e55646 (2020). Uauy, C. Wheat genomics comes of age. Curr ...
Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) belonging to one of the most diverse and substantial families, Poaceae, is the principal cereal crop for the majority of the world's population.This cereal is polyploidy in nature and domestically grown worldwide. Wheat is the source of approximately half of the food calories consumed worldwide and is rich in proteins (gluten), minerals (Cu, Mg, Zn, P, and Fe ...
Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) is the most widely cultivated crop on Earth, contributing about a fifth of the total calories consumed by humans.Consequently, wheat yields and production affect the global economy, and failed harvests can lead to social unrest. Breeders continuously strive to develop improved varieties by fine-tuning genetically complex yield and end-use quality parameters while ...
The paper summarized the state of wheat production, consumption, and international trade at the global and regional levels. ... Dixon J (2007) The economics of wheat: research challenges from field to fork. In: Buck H, Nisi J, Salomon N (eds) Wheat production in stressed environments. ... (2020) Canada markets: a look at USDA's growing global ...
Article 11 June 2020. Main. ... We thank the innovation laboratory at Kansas State University, the CGIAR Research Program on Wheat, the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR), the ...
The importance of wheat research is also apparent through the strong public investment; for example, a survey in 2020 identified 771 funded research projects on different aspects of wheat improvement and agronomy in just five countries (Australia, Canada, China, Spain and the USA) . An international survey in 2018 of wheat research projects ...
Therefore, the present research aims to assess the effect of sowing at different thermal environments and foliar spray of bio-regulators on productivity and nutritional composition of wheat under the era of climate ... Int.J.Curr.Microbiol.App.Sci (2020) 9(10): 2609-2615 . ) (2020) et wheat (Triticum aestivum. L.)
According to estimation wheat production exceeded as 761.7 million tons in (2017/2018), but its demand exceeded 762.4 million tons due to enhanced world population in the survey of (2019/2020) [12 ...
Wheat constitutes pivotal position for ensuring food and nutritional security; however, rapidly rising soil and water salinity pose a serious threat to its production globally. Salinity stress negatively affects the growth and development of wheat leading to diminished grain yield and quality. Wheat plants utilize a range of physiological biochemical and molecular mechanisms to adapt under ...
Purpose and Scope of the CRP 2020 Review. The review's purposes are to assess to what extent WHEAT is (1) delivering quality of science, and (2) demonstrating effectiveness in relation to its own Theories of Change (ToC). The third purpose is to provide insights and lessons to inform the program's future.
High temperature stress (HTS) inhibits almost all physiological processes in wheat causing extensive cellular damage ( Mishra et al., 2021a ). Increased temperature, even for short duration, significantly reduces grain production and quality. The effects of HTS in wheat have been discussed by several researchers based on the comprehensive ...
expected to increase from nearly 600 million tons to around 760 million tons in 2020, ... very high, partly because of the wide adaptability of many new wheat cultivars. The paper distinguishes returns to productivity and maintenance research, as well as socio- ... During the late 1950s and 1960s, wheat research in Mexico and South Asia ...
Wheat contributes to 50% and 30% of the global grain trade and production respectively [ 2 ]. Wheat is also known as a staple food in more than 40 countries of the world. Wheat provides 82% of basic calories and 85% of proteins to the world population [ 3, 4 ]. Wheat-based food is rich in fiber contents than meat-based food.
Wheat species. The major wheat species grown throughout the world is Triticum aestivum, a hexaploid species usually called "common" or "bread" wheat.However, the total world production includes about 35-40 mt of T. turgidum var. durum, a tetraploid species which is adapted to the hot dry conditions surrounding the Mediterranean Sea and similar climates in other regions.
Increasing temperature and consequent changes in climate adversely affect plant growth and development, resulting in catastrophic loss of wheat productivity. For each degree rise in temperature, wheat production is estimated to reduce by 6%. A detailed overview of morpho-physiological responses of wheat to heat stress may help formulating appropriate strategies for heat-stressed wheat yield ...
The current study examines the long-run effects of climatic factors on wheat production in China's top three wheat-producing provinces (Hebei, Henan, and Shandong). The data set consists of observations from 1992 to 2020 on which several techniques, namely, fully modified OLS (FMOLS), dynamic OLS (DOLS), and canonical co-integrating ...
Abstract. Wheat (Triticum aestivum L) is the most extensively grown cereal crop in the world, covering about 237 million hectares annually, accounting for a total of 420 million tonnes (Isitor et ...
Soybean-wheat is one of the predominant cropping systems in India where wheat is the second most important cereal crop and widely grown by the farmers as rabi crop, covering 29.58 million hectare ...
The Wheat Molecular Breeding laboratory develops tools and information for breeders around the world. The Wheat Quality laboratory ensures that CIMMYT varieties meet market demands for flour and bread quality. CIMMYT's wheat research aims to. Develop climate resilient, nutritious, high yielding disease and pest tolerant wheat lines.
people by 2020 requiring 5-6 million tons (henceforth 'mt') ... ha-1 between research farm and farmers field. Wheat is a staple crop in many countries and hence its ... own country. In the milieu, the present paper analyse the performance of wheat production in India. J. Wheat Res. 4(2): 37-44. J. Wheat Res. 4 (2) 38 Material and methods
In India, during 2018-19 Rabi season, wheat was cultivated in 29.55 mha and barley in 0.66 mha, constituting 24.35 per cent of the total crop acreage. Indian wheat production in 2018-19 has made a ...
The latest estimated demand for wheat production for the year 2020 is approximately 87.5million tons, or about 13million tons more than the record production of 75million tons harvested in crop ...
India is the second largest producer of wheat in the world, with production hovering around 68-75 million tons for past few years. The latest estimated demand for wheat production for the year 2020 is approximately 87.5 million tons, or about 13 million tons more than the record production of 75 million tons harvested in crop season 1999-2000. Since 2000, India has struggled to match that ...